Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 8

RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV

· Easi Arena, La Louviere· Referee Lothar D'hondt, Belgium

Full time1 – 4

TipsterGrid prediction was Club Brugge KV to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RAAL La LouvièreDrawClub Brugge KV

RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRAAL La LouvièreDrawClub Brugge KV
Model8%14%77%
Market12%18%70%
Published11%17%72%
Edge-1%-1%+2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 0.89.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Club Brugge KV, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 1.33Now 1.35 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
RAAL La Louvière7.727.70-0.02
Draw5.205.17-0.03
Club Brugge KV1.331.35+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

RAAL La Louvière and Club Brugge KV expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.89RAAL La Louvière
2.88Club Brugge KV
Total expected goals
3.78
Attack rating (RAAL La Louvière / Club Brugge KV)
0.91 / 1.66
Defence rating (RAAL La Louvière / Club Brugge KV)
1.39 / 0.66

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.9% 6.0% 9.5% 9.2% 13.4% 1 1.5% 6.5% 8.5% 8.2% 12.0% 2 0.9% 2.6% 3.8% 3.7% 5.3% 3 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 4+ 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4%

Rows: RAAL La Louvière goals. Columns: Club Brugge KV goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 73%
Over 3.5 52%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2RAAL La Louvière11%8.96
Draw17%5.81
Club Brugge KV72%1.40
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573%1.37
Under 2.527%3.67
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.77
No44%2.29
Double chance1X (RAAL La Louvière or draw)28%3.53
12 (either side)83%1.21
X2 (draw or Club Brugge KV)89%1.13
Handicap -1Club Brugge KV win by 2+58%1.71
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

RAAL La Louvière and Club Brugge KV recent form

RAAL La Louvière 1W 1D 4L
Club Brugge KV 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

RAAL La Louvière at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Club Brugge KV away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: RAAL La Louvière at home only, Club Brugge KV away only.

Expected lineups

RAAL La Louvière lineup · 5-3-2

  1. 21 Marcos Hernán Peano
  2. 18 Shaquil Delos
  3. 25 Djibril Lamego
  4. 99 Yllan Okou
  5. 33 Patrick Nkoa
  6. 3 Nolan Gillot
  7. 23 Joël Ito
  8. 10 Mame Wade
  9. 29 Marius Courcoul
  10. 11 Mustapha Isah
  11. 9 Elias Filet

Bench: Wagane Faye, Thierry Lutonda, Siad Gourville, Zsombor Gruber, Mehdi Boukamir, Ismaila Coulibaly, Anas Tajaouart, Léandro Rousseau, Théo Radelet

Club Brugge KV lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Yann Sommer
  2. 65 Joaquin Seys
  3. 58 Jorne Spileers
  4. 44 Brandon Mechele
  5. 64 Kyriani Sabbe
  6. 8 Freddie Potts
  7. 20 Hans Vanaken
  8. 11 Jan Virgili
  9. 10 Hugo Vetlesen
  10. 9 Carlos Forbs
  11. 7 Nicolò Tresoldi

Bench: Han-Beom Lee, Cheveyo Tsawa, Romeo Vermant, Nordin Jackers, Matteo Dams, Hugo Siquet, Mamadou Diakhon, Félix Lemaréchal, Tian Nai Koren

RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: RAAL La Louvière 2 · draws 0 · Club Brugge KV 0.

RAAL La LouvièreDrawsClub Brugge KV
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-16Club Brugge KV2-3RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
2025-09-13RAAL La Louvière1-0Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match