Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 9

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

· Easi Arena, La Louviere· Referee M. Ledda

Full time3 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Zulte Waregem to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RAAL La LouvièreDrawZulte Waregem

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRAAL La LouvièreDrawZulte Waregem
Model24%24%52%
Market31%28%41%
Published29%27%43%
Edge-2%-1%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.25.
  • The market prices Zulte Waregem below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Zulte Waregem, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-22.

Opened 2.31Now 2.30 -0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
RAAL La Louvière2.883.00+0.12
Draw3.323.30-0.02
Zulte Waregem2.312.30-0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.25RAAL La Louvière
1.92Zulte Waregem
Total expected goals
3.17
Attack rating (RAAL La Louvière / Zulte Waregem)
1.01 / 1.15
Defence rating (RAAL La Louvière / Zulte Waregem)
1.33 / 0.82

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.2% 7.1% 7.8% 5.0% 3.7% 1 4.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.2% 4.6% 2 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.9% 2.9% 3 1.4% 2.6% 2.5% 1.6% 1.2% 4+ 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5%

Rows: RAAL La Louvière goals. Columns: Zulte Waregem goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 61%
Over 3.5 39%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2RAAL La Louvière29%3.42
Draw27%3.67
Zulte Waregem43%2.30
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561%1.63
Under 2.539%2.59
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.62
No38%2.62
Double chance1X (RAAL La Louvière or draw)57%1.77
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Zulte Waregem)71%1.41
Handicap -1Zulte Waregem win by 2+31%3.26
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem recent form

RAAL La Louvière 2W 1D 3L
Zulte Waregem 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

RAAL La Louvière at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Zulte Waregem away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: RAAL La Louvière at home only, Zulte Waregem away only.

Expected lineups

RAAL La Louvière lineup · 5-3-2

  1. 21 Marcos Hernán Peano
  2. 3 Nolan Gillot
  3. 25 Djibril Lamego
  4. 22 Siad Gourville
  5. 4 Wagane Faye
  6. 29 Marius Courcoul
  7. 5 Thierry Lutonda
  8. 10 Mame Wade
  9. 48 Ismaila Coulibaly
  10. 11 Mustapha Isah
  11. 30 Zsombor Gruber

Bench: Mátyás Kovács, Elias Filet, Patrick Nkoa, Quentin Benaets, Anas Tajaouart, Léandro Rousseau, Théo Radelet, Yllan Okou

Zulte Waregem lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 13 Brent Gabriel
  2. 15 Youssoupha Mbodji
  3. 5 Jakob Kiilerich
  4. 4 Laurent Lemoine
  5. 45 Benoit De Jaegere
  6. 11 Marley Aké
  7. 6 Enrique Lofolomo
  8. 36 Serxho Ujka
  9. 21 István Átrok
  10. 18 Anosike Ementa
  11. 22 Ousseynou Niang

Bench: Louis Bostyn, Nikola Mituljikić, Thomas Claes, Tobias Hedl, Tristan Panduro, Franz Tangala, Kewan Vemba, Yannick Cappelle, Akpa Chukwu Hemsley

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: RAAL La Louvière 0 · draws 3 · Zulte Waregem 3.

RAAL La LouvièreDrawsZulte Waregem
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-26Zulte Waregem4-0RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
2026-04-19RAAL La Louvière0-2Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2025-12-13Zulte Waregem2-2RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
2025-10-04RAAL La Louvière0-0Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2025-02-02RAAL La Louvière0-0Zulte WaregemChallenger Pro League
2024-11-10Zulte Waregem2-1RAAL La LouvièreChallenger Pro League

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match