Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 8

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp

· Het Kuipje, Westerlo· Referee B. Van Driessche

Full time5 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was KVC Westerlo to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KVC WesterloDrawAntwerp

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKVC WesterloDrawAntwerp
Model57%20%23%
Market49%24%27%
Published51%23%26%
Edge+2%-1%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.59.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices KVC Westerlo below our published probability: +2.1 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp odds movement

Median bookmaker price on KVC Westerlo, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 2.08Now 1.92 -0.16
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
KVC Westerlo2.081.92-0.16
Draw3.793.87+0.08
Antwerp3.043.50+0.46

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

KVC Westerlo and Antwerp expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.52KVC Westerlo
1.59Antwerp
Total expected goals
4.12
Attack rating (KVC Westerlo / Antwerp)
1.29 / 0.95
Defence rating (KVC Westerlo / Antwerp)
1.34 / 1.32

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.3% 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.6% 1 3.5% 7.2% 5.2% 2.8% 1.6% 2 5.2% 8.3% 6.6% 3.5% 2.0% 3 4.4% 7.0% 5.5% 2.9% 1.7% 4+ 5.0% 8.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.9%

Rows: KVC Westerlo goals. Columns: Antwerp goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 78%
Over 3.5 59%
Both teams to score
74%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2KVC Westerlo51%1.96
Draw23%4.31
Antwerp26%3.87
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578%1.28
Under 2.522%4.51
Both teams to scoreYes74%1.35
No26%3.83
Double chance1X (KVC Westerlo or draw)74%1.35
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Antwerp)49%2.04
Handicap -1KVC Westerlo win by 2+38%2.65
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

KVC Westerlo and Antwerp recent form

KVC Westerlo 3W 1D 2L
Antwerp 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

KVC Westerlo at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.

Antwerp away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: KVC Westerlo at home only, Antwerp away only.

Expected lineups

KVC Westerlo lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 99 Andreas Jungdal
  2. 28 Dylan Ourega
  3. 4 Amando Lapage
  4. 5 Seiji Kimura
  5. 2 Lasse Flø
  6. 39 Thomas Van den Keybus
  7. 45 Ibrahim Fofana
  8. 7 Shunsuke Saito
  9. 13 Isa Sakamoto
  10. 14 Cisse Sandra
  11. 9 Norman Bassette

Bench: Bill Lathouwers, Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni, Reda Laalaoui, David Amegnaglo, Felix Tsimba, Lucas Mbamba, Pape Diong, Botond Balogh, Yang Min-hyeok

Antwerp lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 41 Taishi Brandon Nozawa
  2. 5 Daam Foulon
  3. 3 Álvaro Cortés
  4. 20 Rein Van Helden
  5. 17 Semm Renders
  6. 8 Mauricio Benitez
  7. 14 Xander Dierckx
  8. 48 Arthur Vermeeren
  9. 24 Thibo Somers
  10. 9 Michael Frey
  11. 7 Ibrahim Salah

Bench: Yuto Tsunashima, Christopher Scott, Farouck Adekami, Modibo Fofana, Luca Schelfhout, Snayder Porozo, Maxime Busi, Niels Devalckeneer, Luis Narh

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: KVC Westerlo 2 · draws 2 · Antwerp 6.

KVC WesterloDrawsAntwerp
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-23Antwerp2-0KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2026-04-25KVC Westerlo2-4AntwerpJupiler Pro League
2026-02-15Antwerp0-2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2025-08-30KVC Westerlo2-0AntwerpJupiler Pro League
2025-01-19Antwerp3-2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2024-09-21KVC Westerlo1-2AntwerpJupiler Pro League
2023-12-23Antwerp2-2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2023-09-15KVC Westerlo0-3AntwerpJupiler Pro League
2022-12-27KVC Westerlo3-3AntwerpJupiler Pro League
2022-09-04Antwerp3-0KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match