Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 8

Zulte Waregem vs Gent

· Elindus Arena, Waregem· Referee N. Laforge

Full time0 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was Gent to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Zulte WaregemDrawGent

Zulte Waregem vs Gent: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceZulte WaregemDrawGent
Model34%31%35%
Market34%30%36%
Published34%30%35%
Edge0%0%0%
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Zulte Waregem vs Gent odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Gent, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 2.39Now 2.60 +0.21
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Zulte Waregem2.802.70-0.10
Draw3.273.10-0.17
Gent2.392.60+0.21

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Zulte Waregem and Gent expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.11Zulte Waregem
1.13Gent
Total expected goals
2.24
Attack rating (Zulte Waregem / Gent)
1.13 / 1.07
Defence rating (Zulte Waregem / Gent)
0.84 / 0.67

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Zulte Waregem vs Gent score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.9% 10.6% 6.8% 2.6% 0.9% 1 10.5% 14.7% 7.5% 2.8% 1.0% 2 6.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.6% 3 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Zulte Waregem goals. Columns: Gent goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Zulte Waregem vs Gent goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
47%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Zulte Waregem vs Gent

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Zulte Waregem34%2.92
Draw30%3.30
Gent35%2.82
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.57
Under 2.561%1.64
Both teams to scoreYes47%2.13
No53%1.88
Double chance1X (Zulte Waregem or draw)65%1.55
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or Gent)66%1.52
Handicap -1Gent win by 2+15%6.78
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Zulte Waregem and Gent recent form

Zulte Waregem 2W 2D 2L
Gent 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Zulte Waregem at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Gent away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Zulte Waregem at home only, Gent away only.

Expected lineups

Zulte Waregem lineup · 4-3-2-1

  1. 13 Brent Gabriel
  2. 55 Yannick Cappelle
  3. 5 Jakob Kiilerich
  4. 4 Laurent Lemoine
  5. 23 Salim Diakité
  6. 11 Marley Aké
  7. 6 Enrique Lofolomo
  8. 8 Thomas Claes
  9. 20 Tobias Hedl
  10. 10 Malick Mbaye
  11. 18 Anosike Ementa

Bench: Louis Bostyn, Nikola Mituljikić, Youssoupha Mbodji, István Átrok, Ousseynou Niang, Serxho Ujka, Benoit De Jaegere, Kewan Vemba, Akpa Chukwu Hemsley

Gent lineup · 3-4-2-1

  1. 33 Davy Roef
  2. 44 Siebe Van der Heyden
  3. 16 Christian Burgess
  4. 3 Maksim Paskotsi
  5. 20 Tiago Araújo
  6. 22 Leonardo Lopes
  7. 17 Mathias Delorge
  8. 45 Hyllarion Goore
  9. 11 Momodou Sonko
  10. 7 Michel Ange Balikwisha
  11. 75 Ibrahima Cisse

Bench: Aimé Omgba, Max Dean, Tibe De Vlieger, Kjell Peersman, Abdelkahar Kadri, Abdul Ayinde, Mamadou Diallo, Matties Volckaert, El Hadji Seck

Zulte Waregem vs Gent head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Zulte Waregem 3 · draws 0 · Gent 7.

Zulte WaregemDrawsGent
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-13Gent2-0Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2025-10-19Zulte Waregem4-1GentJupiler Pro League
2024-07-20Gent0-2Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
2023-07-19Gent4-2Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
2023-03-12Zulte Waregem2-6GentJupiler Pro League
2022-09-11Gent2-0Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2022-03-06Gent2-1Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2021-11-20Zulte Waregem1-2GentJupiler Pro League
2021-04-18Zulte Waregem2-7GentJupiler Pro League
2020-11-29Gent0-3Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match