Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 10

Standard Liege vs Kortrijk

· Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liege· Referee B. Van Driessche

Full time1 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Standard Liege to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Standard LiegeDrawKortrijk

Standard Liege vs Kortrijk: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceStandard LiegeDrawKortrijk
Model66%22%13%
Market58%24%19%
Published60%23%17%
Edge+2%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Standard Liege vs Kortrijk odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Standard Liege, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-25.

Opened 1.75Now 1.62 -0.12
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Standard Liege1.751.62-0.12
Draw3.903.97+0.07
Kortrijk4.345.00+0.66

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Standard Liege and Kortrijk expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.09Standard Liege
0.83Kortrijk
Total expected goals
2.91
Attack rating (Standard Liege / Kortrijk)
1.05 / 0.67
Defence rating (Standard Liege / Kortrijk)
0.98 / 1.30

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Standard Liege vs Kortrijk score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 1 10.4% 10.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 2 11.8% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 3 8.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 7.0% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%

Rows: Standard Liege goals. Columns: Kortrijk goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Standard Liege vs Kortrijk goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
50%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Standard Liege vs Kortrijk

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Standard Liege60%1.68
Draw23%4.33
Kortrijk17%5.79
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556%1.80
Under 2.544%2.26
Both teams to scoreYes50%1.99
No50%2.01
Double chance1X (Standard Liege or draw)83%1.21
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Kortrijk)40%2.48
Handicap -1Standard Liege win by 2+42%2.37
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Standard Liege and Kortrijk recent form

Standard Liege 2W 0D 4L
Kortrijk 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Standard Liege at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kortrijk away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 8 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Standard Liege at home only, Kortrijk away only.

Expected lineups

Standard Liege lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 21 Lucas Pirard
  2. 3 Gustav Mortensen
  3. 25 Ibe Hautekiet
  4. 20 Ibrahim Karamoko
  5. 13 Marlon Fossey
  6. 84 Rayan Touzghar
  7. 22 Alexis Trouillet
  8. 15 Salieu Drammeh
  9. 11 Adnane Abid
  10. 10 Dennis Eckert Ayensa
  11. 9 Andi Zeqiri

Bench: Tobias Mohr, Bernard Nguene, Henry Lawrence, Sylvester Jasper, Marco Ilaimaharitra, Daan Dierckx, Quentin Durka, Bruny Nsimba, Ryan Fosso

Kortrijk lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 31 Marko Ilić
  2. 3 Matthew Anderson
  3. 4 Harrison Murray-Campbell
  4. 21 Axel Drouhin
  5. 5 James Ndjeungoue
  6. 70 Anthony Philips
  7. 35 Boris Lambert
  8. 15 Mohamed Fofana
  9. 68 Thierry Ambrose
  10. 10 Goduine Koyalipou
  11. 18 Jellert Van Landschoot

Bench: Patrik Sigurdur Gunnarsson, Liam De Smet, Suf Podgoreanu, Lenn De Smet, Rok Štorman, Gilles Ruyssen, Rudy Kohon, Ken Masui, Sixtus Ogbuehi

Standard Liege vs Kortrijk head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Standard Liege 3 · draws 3 · Kortrijk 4.

Standard LiegeDrawsKortrijk
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-01-10Standard Liege1-0KortrijkJupiler Pro League
2024-08-18Kortrijk1-0Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
2024-01-20Standard Liege0-1KortrijkJupiler Pro League
2023-08-26Kortrijk1-1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
2023-02-12Standard Liege0-2KortrijkJupiler Pro League
2022-08-28Kortrijk0-1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
2022-03-20Kortrijk0-1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
2021-10-30Standard Liege1-1KortrijkJupiler Pro League
2021-02-09Kortrijk1-1Standard LiegeCup
2020-12-16Kortrijk2-1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match