Galatasaray vs Amed preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Galatasaray and Amed, the 1X2 probabilities show Galatasaray at 60% to win, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 8%. Amed's recent form, with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, could challenge this prediction, as they also have a strong 20% win probability.
Galatasaray's expected goals stand at 2.03 compared to Amed's 1.86, indicating a slight edge for the home side. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are projected at 74%, suggesting an attacking match. However, the confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome despite Galatasaray's favorable statistics.
Galatasaray vs Amed: model vs market
| Source | Galatasaray | Draw | Amed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 14% |
| Published | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Edge | -6% | +1% | +5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Galatasaray vs Amed odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Galatasaray, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1.50 | 1.40 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 4.65 | 4.83 | +0.17 |
| Amed | 5.90 | 6.45 | +0.55 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Galatasaray and Amed expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.89
- Attack rating (Galatasaray / Amed)
- 1.45 / 1.58
- Defence rating (Galatasaray / Amed)
- 0.96 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Galatasaray vs Amed score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Galatasaray goals. Columns: Amed goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Galatasaray vs Amed goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Galatasaray vs Amed
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 60% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.98 | |
| Amed | 20% | 5.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.35 |
| No | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Galatasaray or draw) | 80% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Amed) | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win by 2+ | 24% | 4.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Galatasaray and Amed recent form
Galatasaray
5W 0D 1L
Amed
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Galatasaray at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Amed away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Galatasaray at home only, Amed away only.
Galatasaray vs Amed head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Galatasaray 1 · draws 0 · Amed 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-01-22 | Galatasaray | 0-2 | Amed | Türkiye Kupası |
| 2014-12-23 | Amed | 1-4 | Galatasaray | Türkiye Kupası |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa 2026-11-06
- Eyüpspor v Kocaelispor — match page 2026-11-07
- Samsunspor vs Konyaspor — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Göztepe vs Başakşehir 2026-11-07
- Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe 2026-11-08
- Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor — match page 2026-11-08
- Beşiktaş v Gençlerbirliği S.K. — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Galatasaray, previous: Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
- Amed, previous: Amed v Eyüpspor analysis