Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 10

Amed vs Eyüpspor

· Diyarbakir Stadium, Diyarbakır· Referee A. Sen

Full time5 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Amed to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 3 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AmedDrawEyüpspor

Amed vs Eyüpspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAmedDrawEyüpspor
Model85%10%4%
Market76%16%8%
Published79%14%7%
Edge+2%-1%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.33 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Amed below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Amed vs Eyüpspor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Amed, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.29Now 1.23 -0.06
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Amed1.291.23-0.06
Draw5.336.00+0.67
Eyüpspor9.2711.50+2.23

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Amed and Eyüpspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.33Amed
0.73Eyüpspor
Total expected goals
4.06
Attack rating (Amed / Eyüpspor)
1.45 / 0.64
Defence rating (Amed / Eyüpspor)
0.94 / 1.55

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Amed vs Eyüpspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 1 5.3% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 2 9.5% 7.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 3 10.6% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 4+ 20.4% 15.0% 5.5% 1.3% 0.3%

Rows: Amed goals. Columns: Eyüpspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Amed vs Eyüpspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 77%
Over 3.5 58%
Both teams to score
51%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Amed vs Eyüpspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Amed79%1.27
Draw14%7.01
Eyüpspor7%13.87
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577%1.30
Under 2.523%4.36
Both teams to scoreYes51%1.98
No49%2.02
Double chance1X (Amed or draw)93%1.08
12 (either side)86%1.17
X2 (draw or Eyüpspor)21%4.66
Handicap -1Amed win by 2+70%1.44
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Amed and Eyüpspor recent form

Amed 4W 2D 0L
Eyüpspor 0W 0D 6L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Amed at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.80
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Eyüpspor away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
3.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 9 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Amed at home only, Eyüpspor away only.

Injuries & availability

Amed absences

  • D. Demir knee injury
  • L. Dellova yellow cards
  • M. Diagne suspended
  • M. Yildirim muscle injury
  • Y. Sor muscle injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Amed lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 40 Alban Lafont
  2. 17 Umut Meraş
  3. 4 David Robert Bates
  4. 21 Mehmet Yeşil
  5. 7 Ermal Krasniqi
  6. 8 Furkan Soyalp
  7. 22 Rayan Raveloson
  8. 10 Samuel Ballet
  9. 91 Dia Saba
  10. 93 Rayan Lutin
  11. 99 Gift Orban

Bench: Miraç Acer, Cem Üstündag, Yira Collins Sor, Gökhan Gül, Burak Bozan, Amadou Cissé, Kahraman Demirtaş, Mohamed Khalil, Ali Turap Bülbül, Berk Kızıldemir

Eyüpspor lineup · 3-4-2-1

  1. 1 Emre Bilgin
  2. 33 Zak Jules
  3. 88 Chandrel Massanga
  4. 5 Jawad El Yamiq
  5. 70 Mete Demir
  6. 8 David Costa
  7. 15 Charles-Andre Raux Yao
  8. 7 Talha Ülvan
  9. 11 Lenny Pintor
  10. 98 Bilal Boutobba
  11. 9 Yusuf Barası

Bench: Arda Yavuz, Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar, Abdelhamid Sabiri, Hamza Akman, Umut Keseci, Ahmed Abdullahi, Horațiu Moldovan, Berhan Satli, Ömer Ahmet Ceyhan, Konrad Michalak

Amed vs Eyüpspor head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Amed 0 · draws 1 · Eyüpspor 1.

AmedDrawsEyüpspor
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2019-03-23Eyüpspor3-1Amed2. Lig
2018-11-04Amed1-1Eyüpspor2. Lig

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match