Samsunspor vs Konyaspor preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Samsunspor and Konyaspor, the model gives Samsunspor a 41% chance to win, while Konyaspor stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Both teams to score is forecasted at 56%, suggesting potential attacking play despite Samsunspor's recent form of six consecutive losses.
Konyaspor's recent performance shows a mix of results, including two wins in their last five matches. The expected goals are 1.42 for Samsunspor and 1.30 for Konyaspor, indicating a slight edge for the home side. However, the confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor: model vs market
| Source | Samsunspor | Draw | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Published | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.37, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Samsunspor, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 2.43 | 2.26 | -0.17 |
| Draw | 3.56 | 3.31 | -0.25 |
| Konyaspor | 2.77 | 3.02 | +0.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Samsunspor and Konyaspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.72
- Attack rating (Samsunspor / Konyaspor)
- 0.92 / 0.64
- Defence rating (Samsunspor / Konyaspor)
- 1.66 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Samsunspor goals. Columns: Konyaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samsunspor | 41% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Konyaspor | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Samsunspor or draw) | 69% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Konyaspor) | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Samsunspor win by 2+ | 19% | 5.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Samsunspor and Konyaspor recent form
Samsunspor
0W 0D 6L
Konyaspor
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Samsunspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Konyaspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Samsunspor at home only, Konyaspor away only.
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Samsunspor 2 · draws 4 · Konyaspor 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Samsunspor | 2-2 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2025-11-02 | Konyaspor | 1-3 | Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| 2025-02-16 | Konyaspor | 0-1 | Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| 2024-09-14 | Samsunspor | 0-1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2024-05-12 | Konyaspor | 3-0 | Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| 2023-12-21 | Samsunspor | 1-1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2023-07-13 | Konyaspor | 3-2 | Samsunspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2013-03-03 | Samsunspor | 1-1 | Konyaspor | 1. Lig |
| 2012-10-13 | Konyaspor | 2-2 | Samsunspor | 1. Lig |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa 2026-11-06
- Eyüpspor v Kocaelispor — match page 2026-11-07
- Galatasaray vs Amed — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Göztepe vs Başakşehir 2026-11-07
- Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe 2026-11-08
- Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor — match page 2026-11-08
- Beşiktaş v Gençlerbirliği S.K. — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Samsunspor, previous: Başakşehir vs Samsunspor: odds and pick
- Konyaspor, previous: Konyaspor vs Galatasaray prediction