Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 10

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray

· Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konya· Referee C. Aydin

Full time0 – 4

TipsterGrid prediction was Galatasaray to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KonyasporDrawGalatasaray

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKonyasporDrawGalatasaray
Model36%28%35%
Market19%22%58%
Published24%24%53%
Edge+4%+1%-6%
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Galatasaray, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-24.

Opened 1.65Now 1.62 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Konyaspor4.904.92+0.02
Draw4.154.20+0.05
Galatasaray1.651.62-0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Konyaspor and Galatasaray expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.35Konyaspor
1.32Galatasaray
Total expected goals
2.68
Attack rating (Konyaspor / Galatasaray)
0.73 / 1.36
Defence rating (Konyaspor / Galatasaray)
0.80 / 1.24

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.1% 7.9% 6.0% 2.7% 1.2% 1 8.1% 13.6% 8.2% 3.6% 1.6% 2 6.3% 8.3% 5.5% 2.4% 1.1% 3 2.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 4+ 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Konyaspor goals. Columns: Galatasaray goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Konyaspor vs Galatasaray

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Konyaspor24%4.25
Draw24%4.17
Galatasaray53%1.90
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550%2.00
Under 2.550%2.00
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.80
No44%2.25
Double chance1X (Konyaspor or draw)47%2.11
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Galatasaray)76%1.31
Handicap -1Galatasaray win by 2+16%6.14
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Konyaspor and Galatasaray recent form

Konyaspor 2W 2D 2L
Galatasaray 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Konyaspor at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Galatasaray away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Konyaspor at home only, Galatasaray away only.

Injuries & availability

Konyaspor absences

  • A. Demirbag injury

Galatasaray absences

  • A. Bardakci suspended

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Konyaspor lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 13 Bahadır Han Güngördü
  2. 26 Arthur Masuaku
  3. 15 Chidozie Awaziem
  4. 22 Rayyan Baniya
  5. 17 Yhoan Andzouana
  6. 77 Melih İbrahimoğlu
  7. 8 Marko Jevtović
  8. 91 Jean-Luc Dompé
  9. 66 Rajmund Tóth
  10. 9 Deniz Türüç
  11. 11 Jackson Muleka

Bench: Deniz Ertaş, Ahmet Oğuz, Arif Boşluk, Uğurcan Yazğılı, Diogo Gonçalves, Enis Bardhi, Ebrima Colley, Mostafa Mohamed, Emir Bars, Enis Destan

Galatasaray lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Uğurcan Çakır
  2. 17 Eren Elmalı
  3. 90 Wilfried Singo
  4. 6 Davinson Sánchez
  5. 7 Roland Sallai
  6. 8 Gabriel Sara
  7. 34 Lucas Torreira
  8. 27 Rafael Leão
  9. 83 Aleksey Batrakov
  10. 11 Yunus Akgün
  11. 45 Victor Osimhen

Bench: El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Ismail Jakobs, Leroy Sané, Lesley Ugochukwu, Günay Güvenç, İlkay Gündoğan, Deniz Gül, Barış Alper Yılmaz, Renato Nhaga, Mario Lemina

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Konyaspor 2 · draws 1 · Galatasaray 7.

KonyasporDrawsGalatasaray
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-21Konyaspor2-0GalatasaraySüper Lig
2025-09-22Galatasaray3-1KonyasporSüper Lig
2025-04-22Konyaspor1-5GalatasarayTürkiye Kupası
2025-02-27Galatasaray0-0KonyasporTürkiye Kupası
2025-01-25Galatasaray1-0KonyasporSüper Lig
2024-08-16Konyaspor1-2GalatasaraySüper Lig
2024-05-26Konyaspor1-3GalatasaraySüper Lig
2024-01-07Galatasaray3-0KonyasporSüper Lig
2023-03-17Konyaspor2-1GalatasaraySüper Lig
2022-09-16Galatasaray2-1KonyasporSüper Lig

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match