Updated

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4

Feyenoord vs Inter

· Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam· Referee Glenn Nyberg

Full time0 – 3

TipsterGrid prediction was Inter to win

Bblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FeyenoordDrawInter

Feyenoord vs Inter: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFeyenoordDrawInter
Model52%22%26%
Market26%24%50%
Published33%23%44%
Edge+6%-1%-6%
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Feyenoord vs Inter odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Inter, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-28.

Opened 1.70Now 1.92 +0.22
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Feyenoord4.313.68-0.63
Draw4.314.07-0.24
Inter1.701.92+0.22

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Feyenoord and Inter expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.28Feyenoord
1.61Inter
Total expected goals
3.89
Attack rating (Feyenoord / Inter)
1.37 / 1.42
Defence rating (Feyenoord / Inter)
0.87 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Feyenoord vs Inter score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.8% 2.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 1 3.9% 8.3% 6.1% 3.3% 1.9% 2 5.3% 8.6% 6.9% 3.7% 2.1% 3 4.0% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 1.6% 4+ 3.9% 6.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.6%

Rows: Feyenoord goals. Columns: Inter goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Feyenoord vs Inter goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 75%
Over 3.5 54%
Both teams to score
73%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Feyenoord vs Inter

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Feyenoord33%3.07
Draw23%4.33
Inter44%2.26
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574%1.34
Under 2.526%3.92
Both teams to scoreYes73%1.38
No27%3.64
Double chance1X (Feyenoord or draw)56%1.80
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Inter)67%1.48
Handicap -1Inter win by 2+13%7.84
Push (exactly one goal)14%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Feyenoord and Inter recent form

Feyenoord 3W 2D 1L
Inter 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Feyenoord at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

Inter away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Feyenoord at home only, Inter away only.

Injuries & availability

Feyenoord absences

  • B. Nieuwkoop knee injury
  • G. Smal ankle injury
  • J. Bos knee injury
  • J. Moder knee injury
  • J. St. Juste leg injury
  • T. Beelen broken leg

Inter absences

  • A. Bastoni suspended
  • C. Jones thigh injury
  • J. Stones muscle injury
  • L. Martinez thigh injury
  • Luis Henrique thigh injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Feyenoord lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 T. Ernst
  2. 16 Javi López
  3. 35 Mika Màrmol
  4. 24 T. Kraaijeveld
  5. 26 G. Read
  6. 28 O. Targhalline
  7. 34 C. Vanhoutte
  8. 8 G. Zechiël
  9. 10 L. Valente
  10. 19 Nacho Ferri
  11. 23 A. Hadj-Moussa

Bench: T. Watanabe, Gonçalo Borges, S. Steijn, R. Nelson, M. Deijl, T. van den Elshout, G. Diarra, F. Kastenmeier, L. Bossin, S. van Persie, J. Schaken

Inter lineup · 3-5-2

  1. 1 Josep Martínez
  2. 30 Carlos Augusto
  3. 25 M. Akanji
  4. 31 Y. Bisseck
  5. 32 F. Dimarco
  6. 7 P. Zieliński
  7. 20 H. Çalhanoğlu
  8. 23 N. Barella
  9. 99 D. Spence
  10. 9 M. Thuram
  11. 94 F. Esposito

Bench: A. Stanković, P. Sučić, R. Di Gennaro, A. Bonny, A. Diouf, H. Mkhitaryan, B. Pavard, F. Stante, L. Bovio, M. Mosconi, I. Provedel, M. Lavelli

Feyenoord vs Inter head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Feyenoord 0 · draws 0 · Inter 2.

FeyenoordDrawsInter
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-03-11Inter2-1FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
2025-03-05Feyenoord0-2InterUEFA Champions League

Other League Stage - 4 fixtures

Before and after this match