Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 9

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren

· Het Kuipje, Westerlo· Referee A. Letellier

Full time4 – 4

TipsterGrid prediction was KVC Westerlo to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KVC WesterloDrawSK Beveren

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKVC WesterloDrawSK Beveren
Model47%22%30%
Market48%24%27%
Published48%24%28%
Edge0%-1%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.69.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren odds movement

Median bookmaker price on KVC Westerlo, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-22.

Opened 2.08Now 1.92 -0.16
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
KVC Westerlo2.081.92-0.16
Draw3.753.80+0.05
SK Beveren3.113.40+0.29

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

KVC Westerlo and SK Beveren expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.13KVC Westerlo
1.69SK Beveren
Total expected goals
3.81
Attack rating (KVC Westerlo / SK Beveren)
1.49 / 1.16
Defence rating (KVC Westerlo / SK Beveren)
1.16 / 0.95

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.0% 2.9% 3.1% 1.8% 1.1% 1 3.9% 8.7% 6.7% 3.8% 2.3% 2 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 2.5% 3 3.5% 6.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.7% 4+ 3.1% 5.2% 4.4% 2.5% 1.5%

Rows: KVC Westerlo goals. Columns: SK Beveren goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 73%
Over 3.5 53%
Both teams to score
73%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2KVC Westerlo48%2.08
Draw24%4.18
SK Beveren28%3.57
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573%1.36
Under 2.527%3.75
Both teams to scoreYes73%1.38
No27%3.64
Double chance1X (KVC Westerlo or draw)72%1.39
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or SK Beveren)52%1.93
Handicap -1KVC Westerlo win by 2+28%3.54
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

KVC Westerlo and SK Beveren recent form

KVC Westerlo 5W 1D 0L
SK Beveren 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

KVC Westerlo at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.

SK Beveren away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.25
Goals against / match
2.75
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: KVC Westerlo at home only, SK Beveren away only.

Expected lineups

KVC Westerlo lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 99 Andreas Jungdal
  2. 28 Dylan Ourega
  3. 4 Amando Lapage
  4. 5 Seiji Kimura
  5. 2 Lasse Flø
  6. 14 Cisse Sandra
  7. 45 Ibrahim Fofana
  8. 7 Shunsuke Saito
  9. 13 Isa Sakamoto
  10. 11 Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
  11. 9 Norman Bassette

Bench: Bill Lathouwers, Reda Laalaoui, David Amegnaglo, Felix Tsimba, Pape Diong, Thomas Van den Keybus, Botond Balogh, Yang Min-hyeok, Fabio Ferraro

SK Beveren lineup · 4-1-3-2

  1. 1 Johannes Schenk
  2. 4 Christophe Janssens
  3. 31 Bruno Godeau
  4. 3 Viktor Boone
  5. 21 Laurent Jans
  6. 18 Sieben Dewaele
  7. 17 Jearl Margaritha
  8. 24 Arno Verschueren
  9. 44 Cheick Oumar Condé
  10. 9 Moise Kaboré
  11. 22 Christian Brüls

Bench: Dominic Thompson, Chris Lokesa, Ferre Slegers, Cheick Oumar Konaté, Victor Olatunji, Yoni Gomis, Jannik Thomas Robatsch, Josua Lusamba Tshiolola, Lennart Mertens

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: KVC Westerlo 5 · draws 3 · SK Beveren 2.

KVC WesterloDrawsSK Beveren
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2023-11-01SK Beveren3-1KVC WesterloCup
2023-03-23SK Beveren2-2KVC WesterloFriendlies Clubs
2022-02-25KVC Westerlo2-1SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
2022-01-30SK Beveren2-1KVC WesterloChallenger Pro League
2021-11-07KVC Westerlo1-1SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
2021-09-12SK Beveren0-2KVC WesterloChallenger Pro League
2019-09-24SK Beveren3-4KVC WesterloCup
2017-01-28SK Beveren0-0KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2016-10-01KVC Westerlo1-0SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
2016-03-13KVC Westerlo1-0SK BeverenJupiler Pro League

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match