Updated

Eredivisie · Matchday 8

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam

· De Adelaarshorst, Deventer· Referee Jeroen Manschot

Full time3 – 3

TipsterGrid prediction was GO Ahead Eagles to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
GO Ahead EaglesDrawSparta Rotterdam

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGO Ahead EaglesDrawSparta Rotterdam
Model71%16%13%
Market55%23%22%
Published59%21%20%
Edge+4%-2%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 1.28.
  • The market prices GO Ahead Eagles below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam odds movement

Median bookmaker price on GO Ahead Eagles, 45 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 1.89Now 1.71 -0.18
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
GO Ahead Eagles1.891.71-0.18
Draw3.844.07+0.23
Sparta Rotterdam3.554.20+0.65

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.95GO Ahead Eagles
1.28Sparta Rotterdam
Total expected goals
4.23
Attack rating (GO Ahead Eagles / Sparta Rotterdam)
1.14 / 0.80
Defence rating (GO Ahead Eagles / Sparta Rotterdam)
1.07 / 1.44

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 1 3.7% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.6% 2 6.3% 8.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.9% 3 6.2% 8.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9% 4+ 9.4% 12.1% 7.8% 3.3% 1.4%

Rows: GO Ahead Eagles goals. Columns: Sparta Rotterdam goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 79%
Over 3.5 61%
Both teams to score
69%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2GO Ahead Eagles59%1.70
Draw21%4.70
Sparta Rotterdam20%5.00
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579%1.26
Under 2.521%4.84
Both teams to scoreYes69%1.45
No31%3.23
Double chance1X (GO Ahead Eagles or draw)80%1.25
12 (either side)79%1.27
X2 (draw or Sparta Rotterdam)41%2.42
Handicap -1GO Ahead Eagles win by 2+52%1.93
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam recent form

GO Ahead Eagles 1W 4D 1L
Sparta Rotterdam 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

GO Ahead Eagles at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.67
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.

Sparta Rotterdam away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
2.33
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: GO Ahead Eagles at home only, Sparta Rotterdam away only.

Injuries & availability

GO Ahead Eagles absences

  • E. Waayers injury
  • P. Saathof knee injury

Sparta Rotterdam absences

  • S. Mito injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

GO Ahead Eagles lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 K. Haug
  2. 5 D. James
  3. 4 J. Kramer
  4. 25 G. van Zwam
  5. 2 A. Sampsted
  6. 8 E. Linthorst
  7. 21 M. Meulensteen
  8. 17 M. Suray
  9. 16 V. Edvardsen
  10. 10 S. Tengstedt
  11. 9 S. Sigurðarson

Bench: G. Nauber, T. Jukić, O. Sivertsen, R. Weijenberg, R. Margaret, E. Waayers, T. Baeten, Tomas Galvez, E. Flataker, T. Hulleman, N. Verdoni, Y. Rahmouni

Sparta Rotterdam lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 M. Brouwer
  2. 5 B. Kuipers
  3. 4 B. Martins Indi
  4. 3 M. Young
  5. 2 L. Martes
  6. 8 J. Toornstra
  7. 6 N. Verschuren
  8. 11 I. Babadi
  9. 10 Cedric Hatenboer
  10. 7 Robin van Cruijsen
  11. 9 M. Zonneveld

Bench: B. Reith, Teo Quintero, G. Vianello, J. Baas, C. Terho, A. Roaldsøy, F. Bednarek, Joel Ideho, P. Kuiper

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: GO Ahead Eagles 3 · draws 3 · Sparta Rotterdam 4.

GO Ahead EaglesDrawsSparta Rotterdam
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-03Sparta Rotterdam2-2GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
2025-08-23GO Ahead Eagles0-3Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
2025-02-14GO Ahead Eagles1-0Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
2024-12-18Sparta Rotterdam1-1GO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker
2024-09-15Sparta Rotterdam1-2GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
2024-01-21Sparta Rotterdam0-2GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
2023-10-22GO Ahead Eagles0-0Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
2023-02-12Sparta Rotterdam2-1GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
2022-08-27GO Ahead Eagles0-1Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
2022-03-12Sparta Rotterdam1-0GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match