Updated

Eredivisie · Matchday 8

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur

· MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle· Referee Sander van der Eijk

Full time0 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was PEC Zwolle to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PEC ZwolleDrawCambuur

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePEC ZwolleDrawCambuur
Model25%22%53%
Market46%25%29%
Published41%24%35%
Edge-5%-1%+6%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur odds movement

Median bookmaker price on PEC Zwolle, 47 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 1.75Now 2.04 +0.29
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
PEC Zwolle1.752.04+0.29
Draw3.973.75-0.22
Cambuur3.913.23-0.69

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.52PEC Zwolle
2.22Cambuur
Total expected goals
3.73
Attack rating (PEC Zwolle / Cambuur)
0.67 / 0.95
Defence rating (PEC Zwolle / Cambuur)
1.56 / 1.27

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.2% 4.5% 5.9% 4.3% 4.0% 1 2.8% 8.8% 8.9% 6.6% 6.1% 2 2.8% 6.1% 6.8% 5.0% 4.6% 3 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 2.5% 2.3% 4+ 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 1.2%

Rows: PEC Zwolle goals. Columns: Cambuur goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 72%
Over 3.5 51%
Both teams to score
70%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2PEC Zwolle41%2.46
Draw24%4.12
Cambuur35%2.85
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572%1.39
Under 2.528%3.58
Both teams to scoreYes70%1.42
No30%3.37
Double chance1X (PEC Zwolle or draw)65%1.54
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Cambuur)59%1.69
Handicap -1PEC Zwolle win by 2+12%8.43
Push (exactly one goal)13%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

PEC Zwolle and Cambuur recent form

PEC Zwolle 1W 1D 4L
Cambuur 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

PEC Zwolle at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.33
Goals against / match
4.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Cambuur away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: PEC Zwolle at home only, Cambuur away only.

Injuries & availability

PEC Zwolle absences

  • F. Krastev achilles tendon injury
  • I. Cissoko injury
  • R. Thomas injury
  • Y. Namli knee injury

Cambuur absences

  • D. Visser knee injury
  • N. Binder injury
  • W. Asselman injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

PEC Zwolle lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 1 J. Schendelaar
  2. 2 S. Floranus
  3. 24 N. Viergever
  4. 28 S. Graves
  5. 3 O. Aertssen
  6. 30 R. Thomas
  7. 22 I. Cissoko
  8. 8 T. Sommer
  9. 25 T. Oosting
  10. 11 D. Mbayo
  11. 10 K. Kostons

Bench: T. Velthuis, Jan Bürger, E. Sørensen, T. de Graaff, S. van Hooijdonk, O. Velanas, G. Reiziger, Jadiel Pereira da Gama, D. van der Haar, N. Fichtinger, Gilles van der Wal, D. Verduin

Cambuur lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 T. Jansen
  2. 28 M. Costarelli
  3. 14 B. van Duijl
  4. 4 I. Baouf
  5. 2 D. Bouah
  6. 8 N. Souren
  7. 17 Ethan Apkakou
  8. 11 I. Hamache
  9. 10 R. El Arguioui
  10. 15 F. Kvam
  11. 33 M. Maertens

Bench: J. Berkhout, J. Amofa, S. Bouhoudane, S. Vink, N. Binder, R. Mulders, L. Plogmann, L. Jetten, M. Kalisvaart, W. Kooistra, Iwan Henstra, J. Çeka

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: PEC Zwolle 4 · draws 1 · Cambuur 5.

PEC ZwolleDrawsCambuur
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2022-07-22PEC Zwolle3-1CambuurFriendlies Clubs
2022-02-12Cambuur3-4PEC ZwolleEredivisie
2021-11-06PEC Zwolle1-2CambuurEredivisie
2021-07-24PEC Zwolle2-1CambuurFriendlies Clubs
2020-08-01Cambuur2-0PEC ZwolleFriendlies Clubs
2016-02-27Cambuur1-0PEC ZwolleEredivisie
2015-08-12PEC Zwolle2-2CambuurEredivisie
2015-03-07PEC Zwolle6-1CambuurEredivisie
2014-12-20Cambuur2-1PEC ZwolleEredivisie
2014-02-16Cambuur3-1PEC ZwolleEredivisie

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match