Updated

Eredivisie · Matchday 8

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag

· Sportpark Schoonenberg, Felsen· Referee Erwin Blank

Full time2 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was Telstar to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
TelstarDrawADO Den Haag

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTelstarDrawADO Den Haag
Model36%28%36%
Market47%25%28%
Published44%26%30%
Edge-3%+1%+2%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Telstar, 47 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 2.09Now 2.01 -0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Telstar2.092.01-0.08
Draw3.753.79+0.04
ADO Den Haag3.073.30+0.23

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Telstar and ADO Den Haag expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.39Telstar
1.38ADO Den Haag
Total expected goals
2.77
Attack rating (Telstar / ADO Den Haag)
0.72 / 0.98
Defence rating (Telstar / ADO Den Haag)
0.95 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.5% 7.4% 6.0% 2.7% 1.3% 1 7.5% 13.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.8% 2 6.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.7% 1.2% 3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 4+ 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%

Rows: Telstar goals. Columns: ADO Den Haag goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 52%
Over 3.5 30%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Telstar44%2.27
Draw26%3.91
ADO Den Haag30%3.30
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552%1.91
Under 2.548%2.10
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.74
No43%2.35
Double chance1X (Telstar or draw)70%1.44
12 (either side)74%1.34
X2 (draw or ADO Den Haag)56%1.79
Handicap -1Telstar win by 2+17%5.78
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Telstar and ADO Den Haag recent form

Telstar 0W 2D 4L
ADO Den Haag 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Telstar at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ADO Den Haag away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Telstar at home only, ADO Den Haag away only.

Injuries & availability

ADO Den Haag absences

  • C. Peupion knee injury
  • L. Reischl groin injury
  • M. Jimenez injury
  • N. Thomas shoulder injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Telstar lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 R. Koeman
  2. 43 M. Peersman
  3. 4 A. Soualhia
  4. 16 S. Valk
  5. 3 Gerald Alders
  6. 23 N. Shenkman
  7. 10 T. Owusu
  8. 17 N. Rossen
  9. 27 P. Brouwer
  10. 9 Jelani Seedorf
  11. 7 Rui Mendes

Bench: J. Hardeveld, P. Aning, Isaiah Ahmed, E. Demircan, N. Þórisson, Finn Mulder, H. Kuster, N. Nwankwo, G. Caschili, D. Reiziger, R. Oudsten, A. Martha

ADO Den Haag lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 K. Nikiéma
  2. 15 M. Hokke
  3. 4 M. Waem
  4. 3 P. Mulder
  5. 5 J. Jensen-Abbew
  6. 17 J. Hawkins
  7. 33 M. Šín
  8. 25 J. Kilo
  9. 11 E. Rottier
  10. 46 Y. Eduardo

Bench: O. Raterink, D. van Mieghem, J. Žambůrek, J. Bal, Illaijh de Ruijter, M. Jiménez, Finn de Bruin, S. Sylla, L. Wilhelm, N. Thiede, N. Thomas, D. Bárány

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Telstar 3 · draws 4 · ADO Den Haag 3.

TelstarDrawsADO Den Haag
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-05-17ADO Den Haag0-1TelstarEredivisie
2025-05-13Telstar2-0ADO Den HaagEredivisie
2025-04-11Telstar1-1ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie
2024-09-20ADO Den Haag1-1TelstarEerste Divisie
2024-03-15Telstar3-1ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie
2023-09-22ADO Den Haag1-1TelstarEerste Divisie
2023-03-31ADO Den Haag3-1TelstarEerste Divisie
2022-11-11Telstar0-0ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie
2022-03-21ADO Den Haag2-1TelstarEerste Divisie
2021-11-19Telstar0-2ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match