Dundee vs Rangers: model vs market
| Source | Dundee | Draw | Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| Published | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| Edge | +5% | +3% | -8% |
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Dundee vs Rangers odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rangers, 56 snapshots since 2026-09-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 7.67 | 7.39 | -0.28 |
| Draw | 4.78 | 4.92 | +0.15 |
| Rangers | 1.36 | 1.37 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dundee and Rangers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.27
- Attack rating (Dundee / Rangers)
- 1.08 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Dundee / Rangers)
- 0.93 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dundee vs Rangers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dundee goals. Columns: Rangers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dundee vs Rangers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dundee vs Rangers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee | 18% | 5.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Rangers | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| No | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dundee or draw) | 40% | 2.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Rangers) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win by 2+ | 15% | 6.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Dundee and Rangers recent form
Dundee
3W 1D 2L
Rangers
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dundee at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rangers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dundee at home only, Rangers away only.
Expected lineups
Dundee lineup · 4-4-2
- 1 O. Goodman
- 12 I. Samuels
- 4 R. Astley
- 5 O. Bevan
- 7 D. Wright
- 14 A. Forrest
- 28 C. Jones
- 48 E. Hamilton
- 27 J. Bevan
- 21 B. Fink
- 11 A. Hay
Bench: B. Halliday, I. Odutayo, M. Akinmboni, R. Finnigan, K. O'Hara, Ž. Bešir, C. Reilly, J. Wright, Alfie Harrison
Rangers lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 1 I. Pandur
- 29 J. Penrice
- 37 E. Fernandez
- 24 O. Makhanya
- 21 D. Sterling
- 43 N. Raskin
- 6 D. Neil
- 23 D. Gassama
- 10 Minsu Kim
- 26 B. Bouanani
- 20 R. Naderi
Bench: B. Godfrey, K. Nedeljković, K. Kelsy, V. Dragojević, T. Rommens, B. Miovski, L. Kelly, T. Chukwuani, Findlay Curtis
Dundee vs Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Dundee 0 · draws 3 · Rangers 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Rangers | 3-0 | Dundee | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-11-09 | Dundee | 0-3 | Rangers | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-08-09 | Rangers | 1-1 | Dundee | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-03-29 | Dundee | 3-4 | Rangers | Premiership |
| 2025-01-09 | Dundee | 1-1 | Rangers | Premiership |
| 2024-12-21 | Rangers | 1-0 | Dundee | Premiership |
| 2024-09-21 | Rangers | 3-0 | Dundee | League Cup |
| 2024-05-14 | Rangers | 5-2 | Dundee | Premiership |
| 2024-04-17 | Dundee | 0-0 | Rangers | Premiership |
| 2023-12-09 | Rangers | 3-1 | Dundee | Premiership |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hibernian vs Falkirk — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 2026-10-17
- Aberdeen v ST Mirren — match page 2026-10-17
- ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd 2026-10-17
- Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Dundee, previous: Falkirk – Dundee, 2026-10-10
- Dundee, next: ST Mirren – Dundee, 2026-10-24
- Rangers, previous: Rangers vs Kilmarnock: odds and pick
- Rangers, next: Rangers vs ST Johnstone: odds and pick