Updated

Scotland Premiership · Matchday 10

Rangers vs ST Johnstone

· Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow· Referee C. Graham

Full time4 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Rangers to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RangersDrawST Johnstone

Rangers vs ST Johnstone: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRangersDrawST Johnstone
Model43%32%25%
Market78%14%8%
Published70%18%12%
Edge-9%+4%+4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Rangers vs ST Johnstone odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Rangers, 27 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 1.28Now 1.20 -0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Rangers1.281.20-0.08
Draw5.406.75+1.35
ST Johnstone9.5012.20+2.70

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Rangers and ST Johnstone expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.24Rangers
0.88ST Johnstone
Total expected goals
2.12
Attack rating (Rangers / ST Johnstone)
1.07 / 1.00
Defence rating (Rangers / ST Johnstone)
0.73 / 0.76

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rangers vs ST Johnstone score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.3% 0.4% 1 13.6% 14.4% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 2 9.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3% 3 3.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: Rangers goals. Columns: ST Johnstone goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rangers vs ST Johnstone goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 36%
Over 3.5 17%
Both teams to score
43%
No goals (0–0)
13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rangers vs ST Johnstone

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Rangers70%1.44
Draw18%5.44
ST Johnstone12%8.34
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536%2.81
Under 2.564%1.55
Both teams to scoreYes43%2.33
No57%1.75
Double chance1X (Rangers or draw)88%1.14
12 (either side)82%1.23
X2 (draw or ST Johnstone)30%3.29
Handicap -1Rangers win by 2+20%4.98
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Rangers and ST Johnstone recent form

Rangers 5W 1D 0L
ST Johnstone 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Rangers at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ST Johnstone away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Rangers at home only, ST Johnstone away only.

Expected lineups

Rangers lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 I. Pandur
  2. 29 J. Penrice
  3. 24 O. Makhanya
  4. 37 E. Fernandez
  5. 21 D. Sterling
  6. 6 D. Neil
  7. 43 N. Raskin
  8. 10 Minsu Kim
  9. 20 R. Naderi
  10. 26 B. Bouanani
  11. 19 K. Kelsy

Bench: B. Godfrey, K. Nedeljković, V. Dragojević, D. Gassama, T. Rommens, B. Miovski, L. Kelly, T. Chukwuani, Findlay Curtis

ST Johnstone lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 T. Steward
  2. 2 E. Alıç
  3. 3 C. Diabate
  4. 19 D. Finlayson
  5. 33 L. Smith
  6. 7 T. Steven
  7. 30 J. Cotterill
  8. 42 R. McAlear
  9. 32 J. Campbell
  10. 10 J. Gullan
  11. 9 J. Fowler

Bench: B. Mikulić, J. Holt, M. Foulds, K. Fotheringham, R. Sinclair, D. Schmidt, L. Chalmers, M. Todd, R. Paton

Rangers vs ST Johnstone head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Rangers 9 · draws 0 · ST Johnstone 1.

RangersDrawsST Johnstone
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-01-12Rangers3-1ST JohnstonePremiership
2024-12-01ST Johnstone0-1RangersPremiership
2024-10-06Rangers2-0ST JohnstonePremiership
2024-08-17Rangers2-0ST JohnstoneLeague Cup
2024-02-18ST Johnstone0-3RangersPremiership
2023-12-20Rangers2-0ST JohnstonePremiership
2023-09-16ST Johnstone0-2RangersPremiership
2023-01-28Rangers2-0ST JohnstonePremiership
2023-01-21ST Johnstone0-1RangersFA Cup
2022-11-06ST Johnstone2-1RangersPremiership

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match