Upcoming Scotland Premiership fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Johnstone vs DundeeScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | ST JohnstoneOur prob 39%Best odds 2.50 | -2% | 39% | 40% | C | 2.50 |
| Dundee Utd vs MotherwellScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | Dundee UtdOur prob 49%Best odds 2.05 | +3% | 49% | 46% | C | 2.05 |
| Aberdeen vs HibernianScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | AberdeenOur prob 41%Best odds 2.50 | +3% | 41% | 39% | C | 2.50 |
| ST Mirren vs RangersScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | RangersOur prob 64%Best odds 1.45 | -3% | 64% | 66% | C | 1.45 |
| Heart Of Midlothian vs FalkirkScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | Heart Of MidlothianOur prob 57%Best odds 1.56 | -5% | 57% | 62% | C | 1.56 |
| Celtic vs KilmarnockScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | CelticOur prob 77%Best odds 1.19 | -4% | 77% | 81% | C | 1.19 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Scotland Premiership table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 28 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 24 | ||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 20 | ||
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 | ||
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 17 | ||
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 | ||
| 7 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 | ||
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 | ||
| 9 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 | ||
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | ||
| 11 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 9 | ||
| 12 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Scotland Premiership trends
How Scotland Premiership matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 69 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (234 played matches).
Top Scotland Premiership teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.68
- Attack
- 1.67
- Defence
- 0.99
- Net rating
- +0.33
- Attack
- 1.64
- Defence
- 1.32
- Net rating
- +0.23
- Attack
- 1.40
- Defence
- 1.17
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Scotland Premiership
From the Scotland Premiership scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- C. DuránCeltic 7 G 5 A
- B. NygrenCeltic 6 G 4 A
- J. FowlerST Johnstone 6 G 1 A
- R. NaderiRangers 5 G 3 A
- Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian 5 G 2 A
- C. MillerHeart Of Midlothian 5 G 1 A
- J. MurrellFalkirk 5 G 0 A
- K. NisbetAberdeen 4 G 3 A
Recent Scotland Premiership results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk vs CelticOur pick Celtic · 57% | Celtic to win | 57% | 2–0 | Missed | |
| Motherwell vs ST MirrenOur pick Motherwell · 49% | Motherwell to win | 49% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Kilmarnock vs ST JohnstoneOur pick Kilmarnock · 40% | Kilmarnock to win | 40% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Heart Of Midlothian vs RangersOur pick Rangers · 50% | Rangers to win | 50% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| ST Johnstone vs MotherwellOur pick ST Johnstone · 42% | ST Johnstone to win | 42% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Dundee vs KilmarnockOur pick Dundee · 51% | Dundee to win | 51% | 3–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.