Updated

Scotland · 2026/27 season

Scotland Premiership Football Predictions

In the Scotland Premiership, Celtic leads the standings with 28 points after 69 matches played in the 2026/27 season. The average goals per match is 2.83, with 58% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 57% seeing both teams score. The prediction model may be impacted by fluctuations in team form or injuries.

Teams 12 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 69 of 199 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 6 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 65 so far this season

Upcoming Scotland Premiership fixtures

6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.

Scotland Premiership fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
ST Johnstone vs DundeeScotland PremiershipC Scotland Premiership ST JohnstoneOur prob 39%Best odds 2.50 -2% 39% 40% C 2.50
Dundee Utd vs MotherwellScotland PremiershipC Scotland Premiership Dundee UtdOur prob 49%Best odds 2.05 +3% 49% 46% C 2.05
Aberdeen vs HibernianScotland PremiershipC Scotland Premiership AberdeenOur prob 41%Best odds 2.50 +3% 41% 39% C 2.50
ST Mirren vs RangersScotland PremiershipC Scotland Premiership RangersOur prob 64%Best odds 1.45 -3% 64% 66% C 1.45
Heart Of Midlothian vs FalkirkScotland PremiershipC Scotland Premiership Heart Of MidlothianOur prob 57%Best odds 1.56 -5% 57% 62% C 1.56
Celtic vs KilmarnockScotland PremiershipC Scotland Premiership CelticOur prob 77%Best odds 1.19 -4% 77% 81% C 1.19

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Scotland Premiership table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Scotland Premiership table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Celtic 12 912 2710 +17 28
2 Rangers 11 731 199 +10 24
3 Heart Of Midlothian 11 623 2417 +7 20
4 Falkirk 12 534 1512 +3 18
5 Dundee 11 524 1713 +4 17
6 Dundee Utd 11 443 1616 0 16
7 ST Johnstone 12 354 1519 -4 14
8 ST Mirren 12 426 1220 -8 14
9 Motherwell 12 336 1420 -6 12
10 Aberdeen 11 326 1214 -2 11
11 Kilmarnock 12 237 1328 -15 9
12 Hibernian 11 227 1117 -6 8

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Scotland Premiership trends

How Scotland Premiership matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 69 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 29 of 69 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (234)
Away wins 35% 24 of 69 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (234)
Over 2.5 goals 58% 40 of 69 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (234)
Both teams scored 57% 39 of 69 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (234)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (234 played matches).

Top Scotland Premiership teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+0.68
Attack
1.67
Defence
0.99
Form NextST Mirren (A) · 7 Nov
#2
Net rating
+0.33
Attack
1.64
Defence
1.32
Form NextST Johnstone (A) · 7 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Scotland Premiership

From the Scotland Premiership scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • C. DuránCeltic 7 G 5 A
  • B. NygrenCeltic 6 G 4 A
  • J. FowlerST Johnstone 6 G 1 A
  • R. NaderiRangers 5 G 3 A
  • Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian 5 G 2 A
  • C. MillerHeart Of Midlothian 5 G 1 A
  • J. MurrellFalkirk 5 G 0 A
  • K. NisbetAberdeen 4 G 3 A

Recent Scotland Premiership results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Scotland Premiership results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Falkirk vs CelticOur pick Celtic · 57% Celtic to win 57% 2–0 Missed
Motherwell vs ST MirrenOur pick Motherwell · 49% Motherwell to win 49% 1–0 Correct
Kilmarnock vs ST JohnstoneOur pick Kilmarnock · 40% Kilmarnock to win 40% 2–2 Missed
Heart Of Midlothian vs RangersOur pick Rangers · 50% Rangers to win 50% 2–2 Missed
ST Johnstone vs MotherwellOur pick ST Johnstone · 42% ST Johnstone to win 42% 2–2 Missed
Dundee vs KilmarnockOur pick Dundee · 51% Dundee to win 51% 3–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.