Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 8

Amed vs Konyaspor

· Diyarbakir Stadium, Diyarbakır· Referee O. Ergun

Full time1 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Amed to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AmedDrawKonyaspor

Amed vs Konyaspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAmedDrawKonyaspor
Model64%22%14%
Market51%27%22%
Published54%25%20%
Edge+3%-1%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Amed below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Amed vs Konyaspor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Amed, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 2.00Now 1.81 -0.19
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Amed2.001.81-0.19
Draw3.503.49-0.01
Konyaspor3.524.17+0.65

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Amed and Konyaspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.08Amed
0.90Konyaspor
Total expected goals
2.99
Attack rating (Amed / Konyaspor)
1.57 / 0.73
Defence rating (Amed / Konyaspor)
1.02 / 0.89

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Amed vs Konyaspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 1 9.6% 10.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.4% 3 7.6% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 6.4% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%

Rows: Amed goals. Columns: Konyaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Amed vs Konyaspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 57%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
53%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Amed vs Konyaspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Amed54%1.84
Draw25%3.93
Konyaspor20%4.93
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557%1.74
Under 2.543%2.34
Both teams to scoreYes53%1.88
No47%2.13
Double chance1X (Amed or draw)80%1.25
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Konyaspor)46%2.19
Handicap -1Amed win by 2+41%2.47
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Amed and Konyaspor recent form

Amed 3W 2D 1L
Konyaspor 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Amed at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.25
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Konyaspor away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Amed at home only, Konyaspor away only.

Injuries & availability

Amed absences

  • G. Gul calf injury
  • L. Dellova muscle injury
  • M. Yildirim muscle injury
  • Y. Sor muscle injury

Konyaspor absences

  • A. Demirbag injury
  • E. Destan knee injury
  • J. Dompe inactive
  • U. Yazgili injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Amed lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 40 Alban Lafont
  2. 17 Umut Meraş
  3. 4 David Robert Bates
  4. 21 Mehmet Yeşil
  5. 7 Ermal Krasniqi
  6. 8 Furkan Soyalp
  7. 22 Rayan Raveloson
  8. 93 Rayan Lutin
  9. 91 Dia Saba
  10. 10 Samuel Ballet
  11. 99 Gift Orban

Bench: Miraç Acer, Cem Üstündag, Gökhan Gül, Burak Bozan, Amadou Cissé, Mbaye Diagne, Kahraman Demirtaş, Mohamed Khalil, Ali Turap Bülbül, Berk Kızıldemir

Konyaspor lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 13 Bahadır Han Güngördü
  2. 26 Arthur Masuaku
  3. 22 Rayyan Baniya
  4. 15 Chidozie Awaziem
  5. 17 Yhoan Andzouana
  6. 8 Marko Jevtović
  7. 77 Melih İbrahimoğlu
  8. 7 Diogo Gonçalves
  9. 66 Rajmund Tóth
  10. 9 Deniz Türüç
  11. 11 Jackson Muleka

Bench: Deniz Ertaş, Ahmet Oğuz, Arif Boşluk, Enis Bardhi, Ata Yanık, Ebrima Colley, Da Mata, Mostafa Mohamed, Emir Bars, Jean-Luc Dompé

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match