Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: model vs market
| Source | Konyaspor | Draw | Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 23% |
| Published | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Konyaspor, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | 1.83 | 1.85 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.50 | -0.02 |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4.20 | 4.10 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.12
- Attack rating (Konyaspor / Gençlerbirliği S.K.)
- 0.66 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Konyaspor / Gençlerbirliği S.K.)
- 0.90 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Konyaspor goals. Columns: Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 23% | 4.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.34 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Konyaspor or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Gençlerbirliği S.K.) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Konyaspor win by 2+ | 21% | 4.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Konyaspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Konyaspor at home only, Gençlerbirliği S.K. away only.
Injuries & availability
Konyaspor absences
- A. Demirbag injury
-
E. Destan
knee injury
-
U. Yazgili
injury
Gençlerbirliği S.K. absences
- A. Traore muscle injury
-
C. Niasse
muscle injury
-
K. Rodrigues
muscle injury
- P. Etebo inactive
- P. Pereira injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Expected lineups
Konyaspor lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 13 Bahadır Han Güngördü
- 26 Arthur Masuaku
- 15 Chidozie Awaziem
- 22 Rayyan Baniya
- 17 Yhoan Andzouana
- 8 Marko Jevtović
- 77 Melih İbrahimoğlu
- 91 Jean-Luc Dompé
- 10 Enis Bardhi
- 9 Deniz Türüç
- 11 Jackson Muleka
Bench: Deniz Ertaş, Ahmet Oğuz, Arif Boşluk, Uğurcan Yazğılı, Diogo Gonçalves, Ebrima Colley, Mostafa Mohamed, Emir Bars, Rajmund Tóth, Enis Destan
Gençlerbirliği S.K. lineup · 4-1-4-1
- 70 İrfan Can Eğribayat
- 2 Thalisson
- 90 Metehan Baltacı
- 6 Dimitris Goutas
- 88 Fıratcan Üzüm
- 42 Ousmane Diabate
- 83 Rafael Luis
- 10 Franco Tongya
- 48 Salih Uçan
- 20 Sekou Koita
- 9 Pedro Mendes
Bench: Tiago Gouveia, Victor Orakpo, Adama Malouda Traoré, Arda Cagan Celik, Cheikh Niasse, Gökhan Akkan, Oğulcan Ülgün, Prince Martor, Ensar Çavuşoğlu, Abdurrahim Dursun
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Konyaspor 3 · draws 3 · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Konyaspor | 1-0 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| 2025-10-26 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1-2 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2021-09-05 | Konyaspor | 0-3 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2021-02-03 | Konyaspor | 0-0 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| 2020-09-19 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0-0 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2020-06-14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2-1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2019-11-02 | Konyaspor | 1-1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| 2018-01-26 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2-1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2017-08-21 | Konyaspor | 3-0 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gaziantep FK v Erzurumspor FK — match page 2026-10-24
- Samsunspor vs Amed 2026-10-24
- Göztepe v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-25
- Beşiktaş v Başakşehir — match page 2026-10-26
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor 2026-10-26
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Konyaspor, previous: Amed vs Konyaspor: odds and pick
- Konyaspor, next: Konyaspor vs Galatasaray prediction
- Gençlerbirliği S.K., previous: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray: odds and pick
- Gençlerbirliği S.K., next: Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Alanyaspor analysis