Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 8

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray

· Eryaman Stadium, Ankara· Referee R. Coskunses

Full time0 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Galatasaray to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Gençlerbirliği S.K.DrawGalatasaray

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGençlerbirliği S.K.DrawGalatasaray
Model32%23%45%
Market13%18%69%
Published18%19%63%
Edge+5%+1%-6%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.72.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Galatasaray, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 1.36Now 1.36 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Gençlerbirliği S.K.7.117.11-0.00
Draw5.305.17-0.12
Galatasaray1.361.36+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.72Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2.06Galatasaray
Total expected goals
3.78
Attack rating (Gençlerbirliği S.K. / Galatasaray)
0.85 / 1.27
Defence rating (Gençlerbirliği S.K. / Galatasaray)
1.33 / 1.37

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.1% 3.9% 4.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1 3.1% 8.9% 8.3% 5.7% 4.7% 2 3.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 4.1% 3 1.9% 4.0% 4.1% 2.8% 2.3% 4+ 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 1.5%

Rows: Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals. Columns: Galatasaray goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 73%
Over 3.5 52%
Both teams to score
72%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Gençlerbirliği S.K.18%5.61
Draw19%5.20
Galatasaray63%1.59
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573%1.38
Under 2.527%3.67
Both teams to scoreYes72%1.38
No28%3.62
Double chance1X (Gençlerbirliği S.K. or draw)37%2.70
12 (either side)81%1.24
X2 (draw or Galatasaray)82%1.22
Handicap -1Galatasaray win by 2+26%3.78
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray recent form

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1W 2D 3L
Galatasaray 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.

Galatasaray away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home only, Galatasaray away only.

Injuries & availability

Gençlerbirliği S.K. absences

  • A. Traore muscle injury
  • C. Niasse muscle injury
  • K. Rodrigues muscle injury
  • P. Etebo inactive
  • P. Pereira injury
  • S. Koita inactive

Galatasaray absences

  • L. Torreira suspended
  • W. Singo thigh injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Gençlerbirliği S.K. lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 70 İrfan Can Eğribayat
  2. 2 Thalisson
  3. 90 Metehan Baltacı
  4. 6 Dimitris Goutas
  5. 88 Fıratcan Üzüm
  6. 42 Ousmane Diabate
  7. 7 Tiago Gouveia
  8. 10 Franco Tongya
  9. 48 Salih Uçan
  10. 83 Rafael Luis
  11. 9 Pedro Mendes

Bench: Yiğit Hamza Aydar, Victor Orakpo, Erk Arda Aslan, Sekou Koita, Gökhan Akkan, Oğulcan Ülgün, Prince Martor, Göktug Erdem, Ensar Çavuşoğlu, Abdurrahim Dursun

Galatasaray lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Uğurcan Çakır
  2. 17 Eren Elmalı
  3. 42 Abdülkerim Bardakcı
  4. 6 Davinson Sánchez
  5. 7 Roland Sallai
  6. 8 Gabriel Sara
  7. 99 Mario Lemina
  8. 53 Barış Alper Yılmaz
  9. 83 Aleksey Batrakov
  10. 10 Leroy Sané
  11. 45 Victor Osimhen

Bench: El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Ismail Jakobs, Yunus Akgün, İlkay Gündoğan, Deniz Gül, Kaan Ayhan, Jankat Yılmaz, Rafael Leão, Renato Nhaga, Kazımcan Karataş

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2 · draws 2 · Galatasaray 6.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.DrawsGalatasaray
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-22Galatasaray0-2Gençlerbirliği S.K.Türkiye Kupası
2026-04-18Gençlerbirliği S.K.1-2GalatasaraySüper Lig
2025-11-22Galatasaray3-2Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2023-02-22Galatasaray2-2Gençlerbirliği S.K.Friendlies Clubs
2021-05-02Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-2GalatasaraySüper Lig
2021-01-09Galatasaray6-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2020-03-01Galatasaray3-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2019-10-05Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-0GalatasaraySüper Lig
2018-04-09Gençlerbirliği S.K.1-0GalatasaraySüper Lig
2017-11-03Galatasaray5-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match