Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 8

Çorum FK vs Rizespor

· Corum Stadyumu, Corum· Referee D. Celik

Full time2 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Çorum FK to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Çorum FKDrawRizespor

Çorum FK vs Rizespor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceÇorum FKDrawRizespor
Model68%19%13%
Market47%25%28%
Published52%23%24%
Edge+5%-1%-4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Çorum FK below our published probability: +5.1 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Çorum FK vs Rizespor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Çorum FK, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-12.

Opened 2.06Now 1.98 -0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Çorum FK2.061.98-0.08
Draw3.703.75+0.05
Rizespor3.303.33+0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Çorum FK and Rizespor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.45Çorum FK
1.04Rizespor
Total expected goals
3.49
Attack rating (Çorum FK / Rizespor)
1.42 / 0.94
Defence rating (Çorum FK / Rizespor)
0.91 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Çorum FK vs Rizespor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 1 6.7% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 3 7.5% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 4+ 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.5%

Rows: Çorum FK goals. Columns: Rizespor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Çorum FK vs Rizespor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 68%
Over 3.5 46%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Çorum FK vs Rizespor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Çorum FK52%1.92
Draw23%4.27
Rizespor24%4.10
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568%1.48
Under 2.532%3.09
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.67
No40%2.48
Double chance1X (Çorum FK or draw)76%1.32
12 (either side)77%1.31
X2 (draw or Rizespor)48%2.09
Handicap -1Çorum FK win by 2+46%2.16
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Çorum FK and Rizespor recent form

Çorum FK 3W 0D 3L
Rizespor 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Çorum FK at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rizespor away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Çorum FK at home only, Rizespor away only.

Injuries & availability

Rizespor absences

  • K. Alikulov knee injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Çorum FK lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 1 Marcos Felipe
  2. 5 Alexandre Penetra
  3. 2 Çağlar Söyüncü
  4. 6 Hrvoje Smolčić
  5. 11 Gökhan Sazdağı
  6. 3 Berat Özdemir
  7. 10 Mohammed Diomande
  8. 24 Andrei Borza
  9. 7 Cengiz Ünder
  10. 19 Jesús Ramírez
  11. 89 Alexandros Kyziridis

Bench: Markus Karlsbakk, Mame Thiam, Youssoufa Moukoko, Arda Şengül, Erhan Erentürk, Ylber Ramadani, Göktan Gürpüz, Ermin Mahmić, Ahmed Ildız, Cemali Sertel

Rizespor lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 75 Yahia Fofana
  2. 17 Zakaria Ariss
  3. 93 Modibo Sagnan
  4. 21 Siaka Bakayoko
  5. 54 Mithat Pala
  6. 14 Taylan Antalyalı
  7. 7 Valentin Mihăilă
  8. 20 Qazim Laci
  9. 10 Ibrahim Olawoyin
  10. 11 Adedire Mebude
  11. 9 Ali Sowe

Bench: Tayyip Talha Sanuç, Moussa Diakité, Dal Varešanović, Umut Erdem, Gennaro Borrelli, Zafer Görgen, Taha Şahin, Iustin Doicaru, Efe Doğan, Emrecan Bulut

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

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