Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 8

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş

· Papara Park, Trabzon· Referee C. Aydin

Full time2 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Trabzonspor to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
TrabzonsporDrawBeşiktaş

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTrabzonsporDrawBeşiktaş
Model39%24%37%
Market39%25%36%
Published39%25%37%
Edge0%0%0%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Trabzonspor, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-12.

Opened 3.32Now 2.42 -0.90
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Trabzonspor3.322.42-0.90
Draw3.733.72-0.01
Beşiktaş1.992.57+0.58

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.79Trabzonspor
1.74Beşiktaş
Total expected goals
3.53
Attack rating (Trabzonspor / Beşiktaş)
1.41 / 1.55
Defence rating (Trabzonspor / Beşiktaş)
0.93 / 0.85

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 2.6% 1.7% 1 4.3% 10.1% 8.0% 4.6% 3.0% 2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 2.7% 3 2.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.5% 1.6% 4+ 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.6% 1.1%

Rows: Trabzonspor goals. Columns: Beşiktaş goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 68%
Over 3.5 47%
Both teams to score
70%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Trabzonspor39%2.59
Draw25%4.03
Beşiktaş37%2.74
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568%1.46
Under 2.532%3.17
Both teams to scoreYes70%1.44
No30%3.29
Double chance1X (Trabzonspor or draw)63%1.58
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Beşiktaş)61%1.63
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win by 2+21%4.78
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş recent form

Trabzonspor 4W 0D 2L
Beşiktaş 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Trabzonspor at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.67
Goals against / match
0.33
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Beşiktaş away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Trabzonspor at home only, Beşiktaş away only.

Injuries & availability

Trabzonspor absences

  • A. Batagov knee injury
  • M. Kabasakal suspended
  • O. Cevikkan tendon injury
  • O. Yokuslu knee injury
  • P. Onuachu injury

Beşiktaş absences

  • M. Rashica injury
  • V. Cerny muscle injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Trabzonspor lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 24 André Onana
  2. 55 Sidny Lopes Cabral
  3. 15 Stefan Savić
  4. 27 Chibuike Nwaiwu
  5. 20 Wagner Pina
  6. 6 Fabinho
  7. 11 Ozan Tufan
  8. 58 Aral Şimşir
  9. 7 Ernest Muçi
  10. 10 Mohamed Salah
  11. 9 Franculino Djú

Bench: Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım, Samet Akaydın, Umut Nayir, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Cenk Özkaçar, Noah Saviolo, Metehan Mimaroğlu, Mustafa Kuzey Akcay, Erol Can Çolak, Ali Habeşoğlu

Beşiktaş lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 1 Alexander Nübel
  2. 33 Rıdvan Yılmaz
  3. 53 Emirhan Topçu
  4. 12 Emmanuel Agbadou
  5. 62 Amir Murillo
  6. 6 Salih Özcan
  7. 19 Leandro Trossard
  8. 21 Fabio Miretti
  9. 15 Junior Olaitan
  10. 18 Václav Černý
  11. 28 Dušan Vlahović

Bench: Wilfred Ndidi, Kartal Kayra Yılmaz, Hyeon-gyu Oh, Kassoum Ouattara, Ernest Poku, Taylan Bulut, İlhan Fakılı, Tiago Djaló, Ümit Akdağ, Doğan Alemdar

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Trabzonspor 2 · draws 5 · Beşiktaş 3.

TrabzonsporDrawsBeşiktaş
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-09Beşiktaş1-2TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2025-12-14Trabzonspor3-3BeşiktaşSüper Lig
2025-02-15Beşiktaş2-1TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2024-09-15Trabzonspor1-1BeşiktaşSüper Lig
2024-05-23Beşiktaş3-2TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası
2024-02-04Beşiktaş2-0TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2023-09-17Trabzonspor3-0BeşiktaşSüper Lig
2023-04-16Trabzonspor0-0BeşiktaşSüper Lig
2022-10-16Beşiktaş2-2TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2022-04-03Trabzonspor1-1BeşiktaşSüper Lig

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match