Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 9

Göztepe vs Çorum FK

· Gursel Aksel Stadium, Izmir· Referee M. Turkmen

Full time2 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Göztepe to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
GöztepeDrawÇorum FK

Göztepe vs Çorum FK: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGöztepeDrawÇorum FK
Model32%22%46%
Market43%26%31%
Published40%25%35%
Edge-3%-1%+4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Göztepe vs Çorum FK odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Göztepe, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 2.15Now 2.15 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Göztepe2.152.15+0.00
Draw3.623.60-0.02
Çorum FK3.043.04+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Göztepe and Çorum FK expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.79Göztepe
2.16Çorum FK
Total expected goals
3.95
Attack rating (Göztepe / Çorum FK)
1.34 / 1.43
Defence rating (Göztepe / Çorum FK)
1.24 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Göztepe vs Çorum FK score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 3.2% 2.9% 1 2.7% 8.2% 8.0% 5.8% 5.1% 2 3.1% 6.7% 7.2% 5.2% 4.6% 3 1.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.1% 2.7% 4+ 1.2% 2.7% 2.9% 2.1% 1.8%

Rows: Göztepe goals. Columns: Çorum FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Göztepe vs Çorum FK goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 75%
Over 3.5 56%
Both teams to score
74%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Göztepe vs Çorum FK

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Göztepe40%2.47
Draw25%4.01
Çorum FK35%2.89
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575%1.33
Under 2.525%4.06
Both teams to scoreYes74%1.34
No26%3.90
Double chance1X (Göztepe or draw)65%1.53
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Çorum FK)60%1.68
Handicap -1Göztepe win by 2+17%6.05
Push (exactly one goal)15%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Göztepe and Çorum FK recent form

Göztepe 2W 2D 2L
Çorum FK 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Göztepe at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.33
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).

Çorum FK away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Göztepe at home only, Çorum FK away only.

Injuries & availability

Göztepe absences

  • Allan Godoi injury
  • F. Bayir inactive
  • I. Sabra ankle injury
  • L. Gugeshashvili inactive
  • O. Bayrak inactive

Çorum FK absences

  • A. Borza injury
  • E. Gurluk injury
  • S. Saatci inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Göztepe lineup · 3-4-1-2

  1. 1 Arda Özçimen
  2. 26 Malcom Bokele
  3. 19 Noah Sonko Sundberg
  4. 4 Taha Altıkardeş
  5. 12 Richard Akonnor
  6. 20 Novatus Miroshi
  7. 5 Rhaldney
  8. 2 Arda Kurtulan
  9. 8 Alexis Antunes
  10. 9 Juan Santos da Silva
  11. 7 André Henrique

Bench: Alex Matos, Efkan Bekiroğlu, Ege Yildirim, Bekir Turaç Böke, Gökdeniz Bayrakdar, Tino Anjorin, Sinclair Armstrong, Mehmet Şamil Öztürk, Janderson, Nevzat Üzel

Çorum FK lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 1 Marcos Felipe
  2. 6 Hrvoje Smolčić
  3. 2 Çağlar Söyüncü
  4. 5 Alexandre Penetra
  5. 20 Ylber Ramadani
  6. 10 Mohammed Diomande
  7. 3 Berat Özdemir
  8. 11 Gökhan Sazdağı
  9. 89 Alexandros Kyziridis
  10. 19 Jesús Ramírez
  11. 7 Cengiz Ünder

Bench: Markus Karlsbakk, Mame Thiam, Youssoufa Moukoko, Arda Şengül, Erhan Erentürk, Göktan Gürpüz, Andrei Borza, Ermin Mahmić, Ahmed Ildız, Cemali Sertel

Göztepe vs Çorum FK head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Göztepe 0 · draws 1 · Çorum FK 1.

GöztepeDrawsÇorum FK
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2024-01-27Çorum FK1-1Göztepe1. Lig
2023-08-26Göztepe1-2Çorum FK1. Lig

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match