Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 9

Rizespor vs Trabzonspor

· Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize· Referee H. U. Meler

Full time3 – 4

TipsterGrid prediction was Trabzonspor to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RizesporDrawTrabzonspor

Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRizesporDrawTrabzonspor
Model17%23%60%
Market26%25%49%
Published24%24%52%
Edge-2%0%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Trabzonspor below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Rizespor vs Trabzonspor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Trabzonspor, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-20.

Opened 2.06Now 1.91 -0.15
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Rizespor3.173.52+0.35
Draw3.703.79+0.09
Trabzonspor2.061.91-0.15

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Rizespor and Trabzonspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.04Rizespor
2.06Trabzonspor
Total expected goals
3.10
Attack rating (Rizespor / Trabzonspor)
0.93 / 1.43
Defence rating (Rizespor / Trabzonspor)
1.19 / 0.76

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rizespor vs Trabzonspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.5% 8.3% 9.5% 6.5% 5.4% 1 3.7% 10.6% 9.9% 6.8% 5.6% 2 2.4% 5.0% 5.2% 3.6% 2.9% 3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 1.0% 4+ 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%

Rows: Rizespor goals. Columns: Trabzonspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rizespor vs Trabzonspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 60%
Over 3.5 38%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rizespor vs Trabzonspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Rizespor24%4.13
Draw24%4.14
Trabzonspor52%1.94
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560%1.67
Under 2.540%2.49
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.74
No43%2.35
Double chance1X (Rizespor or draw)48%2.07
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Trabzonspor)76%1.32
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win by 2+37%2.68
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Rizespor and Trabzonspor recent form

Rizespor 2W 1D 3L
Trabzonspor 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Rizespor at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Trabzonspor away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Rizespor at home only, Trabzonspor away only.

Injuries & availability

Rizespor absences

  • K. Alikulov knee injury

Trabzonspor absences

  • A. Batagov knee injury
  • N. Saviolo injury
  • O. Cevikkan tendon injury
  • O. Yokuslu knee injury
  • P. Onuachu muscle injury
  • R. Malinovskyi knee injury
  • S. Savic inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Rizespor lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 75 Yahia Fofana
  2. 17 Zakaria Ariss
  3. 93 Modibo Sagnan
  4. 21 Siaka Bakayoko
  5. 54 Mithat Pala
  6. 14 Taylan Antalyalı
  7. 99 Emrecan Bulut
  8. 20 Qazim Laci
  9. 10 Ibrahim Olawoyin
  10. 11 Adedire Mebude
  11. 29 Gennaro Borrelli

Bench: Attila Mocsi, Tayyip Talha Sanuç, Moussa Diakité, Valentin Mihăilă, Dal Varešanović, Ali Sowe, Zafer Görgen, Taha Şahin, Can Bozdoğan, Iustin Doicaru

Trabzonspor lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 24 André Onana
  2. 19 Mustafa Eskihellaç
  3. 15 Stefan Savić
  4. 27 Chibuike Nwaiwu
  5. 20 Wagner Pina
  6. 6 Fabinho
  7. 57 Melih Kabasakal
  8. 58 Aral Şimşir
  9. 7 Ernest Muçi
  10. 10 Mohamed Salah
  11. 9 Franculino Djú

Bench: Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım, Samet Akaydın, Ozan Tufan, Umut Nayir, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Cenk Özkaçar, Sidny Lopes Cabral, Noah Saviolo, Metehan Mimaroğlu, Ali Habeşoğlu

Rizespor vs Trabzonspor head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Rizespor 4 · draws 1 · Trabzonspor 5.

RizesporDrawsTrabzonspor
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-14Trabzonspor1-0RizesporSüper Lig
2025-10-18Rizespor1-2TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2025-04-13Trabzonspor2-0RizesporSüper Lig
2025-02-26Trabzonspor5-2RizesporTürkiye Kupası
2024-11-09Rizespor3-1TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2024-01-25Rizespor1-0TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2023-08-26Trabzonspor2-3RizesporSüper Lig
2022-03-18Rizespor3-2TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2021-10-29Trabzonspor2-1RizesporSüper Lig
2021-04-10Rizespor0-0TrabzonsporSüper Lig

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match