Updated

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3

Real Betis vs Feyenoord

· Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville· Referee Simone Sozza

Full time1 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Real Betis to win

Bblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

5% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Real BetisDrawFeyenoord

Real Betis vs Feyenoord: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceReal BetisDrawFeyenoord
Model33%20%47%
Market58%21%21%
Published52%21%28%
Edge-6%0%+7%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Real Betis vs Feyenoord odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Real Betis, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-16.

Opened 1.54Now 1.65 +0.11
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Real Betis1.541.65+0.11
Draw4.564.57+0.01
Feyenoord5.284.55-0.73

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Real Betis and Feyenoord expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.18Real Betis
2.58Feyenoord
Total expected goals
4.76
Attack rating (Real Betis / Feyenoord)
1.22 / 1.71
Defence rating (Real Betis / Feyenoord)
1.14 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Real Betis vs Feyenoord score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 2.4% 2.9% 1 1.4% 5.3% 6.2% 5.3% 6.4% 2 2.0% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 7.0% 3 1.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.2% 5.1% 4+ 1.3% 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 4.6%

Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Feyenoord goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Real Betis vs Feyenoord goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 96%
Over 2.5 85%
Over 3.5 70%
Both teams to score
83%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Real Betis vs Feyenoord

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Real Betis52%1.93
Draw21%4.86
Feyenoord28%3.63
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585%1.17
Under 2.515%6.86
Both teams to scoreYes83%1.21
No17%5.72
Double chance1X (Real Betis or draw)72%1.38
12 (either side)79%1.26
X2 (draw or Feyenoord)48%2.08
Handicap -1Real Betis win by 2+19%5.39
Push (exactly one goal)15%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Real Betis and Feyenoord recent form

Real Betis 4W 1D 1L
Feyenoord 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Real Betis at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

Feyenoord away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
5.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Real Betis at home only, Feyenoord away only.

Injuries & availability

Real Betis absences

  • C. Hernandez calf injury
  • I. Losada inactive
  • J. Firpo groin injury

Feyenoord absences

  • B. Nieuwkoop knee injury
  • G. Smal ankle injury
  • J. Bos knee injury
  • J. Moder knee injury
  • R. Nelson muscle injury
  • S. van Persie knock
  • T. Beelen broken leg

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Real Betis lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Álvaro Vallés
  2. 11 Fran García
  3. 4 Natan
  4. 5 Marc Bartra
  5. 2 Héctor Bellerín
  6. 21 Marc Roca
  7. 8 Pablo Fornals
  8. 10 A. Ezzalzouli
  9. 22 Isco
  10. 7 Antony
  11. 19 T. Parrott

Bench: Diego Llorente, F. Bernal, Ángel Ortiz, Diego Conde, Álvaro Fidalgo, V. Gómez, Rodrigo Riquelme, N. Deossa, G. Lo Celso, Aitor Ruibal, Dani Ceballos, J. A. Morante

Feyenoord lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 T. Ernst
  2. 16 Javi López
  3. 35 Mika Màrmol
  4. 6 J. St. Juste
  5. 26 G. Read
  6. 28 O. Targhalline
  7. 34 C. Vanhoutte
  8. 8 G. Zechiël
  9. 10 L. Valente
  10. 19 Nacho Ferri
  11. 23 A. Hadj-Moussa

Bench: T. Watanabe, Gonçalo Borges, S. Steijn, M. Deijl, T. van den Elshout, T. Kraaijeveld, G. Diarra, T. Wessels, F. Kastenmeier, L. Bossin, J. Schaken

Real Betis vs Feyenoord head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Real Betis 1 · draws 0 · Feyenoord 0.

Real BetisDrawsFeyenoord
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-29Real Betis2-1FeyenoordUEFA Europa League

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

Before and after this match