KuPS vs Gent preview
In the upcoming fixture between KuPS and Gent, the probabilities indicate a 22% chance for KuPS, a 26% chance for a draw, and a 52% chance for Gent to win. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% probability. KuPS has an expected goals figure of 0.96, while Gent stands at 1.42, highlighting a significant offensive advantage for the visitors.
KuPS has struggled recently, with a record of D-D-L-W-L-L, while Gent has shown strong form, winning 4 of their last 6 matches. The model suggests a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance for both teams to score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
KuPS vs Gent: model vs market
| Source | KuPS | Draw | Gent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Market | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Published | 21% | 26% | 54% |
| Edge | +2% | +2% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
KuPS vs Gent odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gent, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-30.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 5.80 | 4.96 | -0.84 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.90 | -0.10 |
| Gent | 1.58 | 1.66 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
KuPS and Gent expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.31
- Attack rating (KuPS / Gent)
- 0.73 / 1.13
- Defence rating (KuPS / Gent)
- 1.00 / 0.80
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
KuPS vs Gent score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: KuPS goals. Columns: Gent goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
KuPS vs Gent goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for KuPS vs Gent
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 21% | 4.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Gent | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.13 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (KuPS or draw) | 46% | 2.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Gent) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gent win by 2+ | 21% | 4.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
KuPS and Gent recent form
KuPS
1W 2D 3L
Gent
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
KuPS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
Gent away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: KuPS at home only, Gent away only.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- FC Midtjylland v Ajax — match page 2026-11-05
- Aarhus v SC Braga — match page 2026-11-05
- Atalanta v Kairat Almaty — match page 2026-11-05
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 2026-11-05
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 2026-11-05
- Trabzonspor v Freiburg — match page 2026-11-05
- FC Thun v Heart Of Midlothian — match page 2026-11-05
- Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka — team news & stats 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- KuPS, previous: Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS: odds and pick
- Gent, previous: SC Braga – Gent, 2026-10-22