Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2

Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS

· Gradski stadion Banja Luka, Banja Luka· Referee I. O. Kristjansson

Full time2 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Borac Banja Luka to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Borac Banja LukaDrawKuPS

Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBorac Banja LukaDrawKuPS
Model60%25%15%
Market52%26%21%
Published54%26%20%
Edge+2%0%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Borac Banja Luka, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 1.89Now 1.81 -0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Borac Banja Luka1.891.81-0.08
Draw3.443.59+0.15
KuPS4.004.40+0.40

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Borac Banja Luka and KuPS expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.73Borac Banja Luka
0.76KuPS
Total expected goals
2.49
Attack rating (Borac Banja Luka / KuPS)
1.20 / 0.82
Defence rating (Borac Banja Luka / KuPS)
0.78 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 1 13.2% 12.0% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 2 12.4% 9.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 3 7.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 4.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Borac Banja Luka goals. Columns: KuPS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 24%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Borac Banja Luka54%1.85
Draw26%3.84
KuPS20%5.06
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.19
Under 2.554%1.84
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.23
No55%1.81
Double chance1X (Borac Banja Luka or draw)80%1.25
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or KuPS)46%2.18
Handicap -1Borac Banja Luka win by 2+34%2.91
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Borac Banja Luka and KuPS recent form

Borac Banja Luka 4W 0D 2L
KuPS 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Borac Banja Luka at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
0.33
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KuPS away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Borac Banja Luka at home only, KuPS away only.

Expected lineups

Borac Banja Luka lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 72 Mladen Jurkas
  2. 16 Sebastian Herrera
  3. 6 Siniša Saničanin
  4. 2 Bart Meijers
  5. 4 Branimir Cipetić
  6. 12 Amer Hiroš
  7. 89 Matej Deket
  8. 18 Miloš Jojić
  9. 77 Stefan Savić
  10. 7 Luka Juričić
  11. 44 Ante Roguljić

Bench: Damjan Siskovski, Abel Pascual, David Vuković, Viktor Rogan, Erik Riđan, Ivan Kukavica, Stojan Vranješ, Jurich Carolina, Nemanja Jakšić, Amar Milak, Sandi Ogrinec, Daniel Romera

KuPS lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Johannes Kreidl
  2. 13 Niilo Kujasalo
  3. 23 Arttu Lötjönen
  4. 28 Brahima Magassa
  5. 29 Akseli Puukko
  6. 34 Julius Eskesen
  7. 22 Saikou Touray
  8. 9 Gustav Engvall
  9. 16 Tommi Jyry
  10. 15 Ayman Aiki
  11. 20 Piotr Parzyszek

Bench: Saku Heiskanen, Kasim Adams, Saku Savolainen, Petteri Pennanen, Valentín Gasc, Jaime Moreno, Hemmo Riihimäki, Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba, Bob Nii Armah, Clinton Antwi, Jorginho, Taneli Hämäläinen

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match