Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka preview
In the fixture between Mjallby AIF and Borac Banja Luka, the probabilities indicate a close contest with Mjallby AIF at 36% and Borac Banja Luka at 35%. The expected goals show a significant disparity, with Mjallby AIF at 0.72 compared to Borac Banja Luka's 1.52. This suggests that Borac Banja Luka may have the edge in creating scoring opportunities.
However, Mjallby AIF's recent form includes a win, which could provide a morale boost despite their lower expected goals. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Mjallby AIF, occurring at a 6% likelihood, indicating that while they may struggle to score, they could still secure a narrow victory. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka: model vs market
| Source | Mjallby AIF | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 28% | 55% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Published | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Edge | -7% | 0% | +7% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mjallby AIF, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-30.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF | 2.12 | 2.20 | +0.08 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| Borac Banja Luka | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mjallby AIF and Borac Banja Luka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.24
- Attack rating (Mjallby AIF / Borac Banja Luka)
- 0.60 / 1.35
- Defence rating (Mjallby AIF / Borac Banja Luka)
- 0.95 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mjallby AIF goals. Columns: Borac Banja Luka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 36% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Borac Banja Luka | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.43 |
| No | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mjallby AIF or draw) | 65% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Borac Banja Luka) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mjallby AIF win by 2+ | 5% | 20.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Mjallby AIF and Borac Banja Luka recent form
Mjallby AIF
2W 2D 2L
Borac Banja Luka
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mjallby AIF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
Borac Banja Luka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mjallby AIF at home only, Borac Banja Luka away only.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- FC Midtjylland v Ajax — match page 2026-11-05
- Aarhus v SC Braga — match page 2026-11-05
- Atalanta v Kairat Almaty — match page 2026-11-05
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 2026-11-05
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 2026-11-05
- Trabzonspor v Freiburg — match page 2026-11-05
- FC Thun v Heart Of Midlothian — match page 2026-11-05
- KuPS v Gent — match page 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- Mjallby AIF, previous: FC Iberia 1999 v Mjallby AIF analysis
- Borac Banja Luka, previous: Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS: odds and pick