Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2

SC Braga vs Gent

· Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga· Referee A. Treimanis

Full time2 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was SC Braga to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
SC BragaDrawGent

SC Braga vs Gent: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSC BragaDrawGent
Model24%32%44%
Market50%27%23%
Published43%28%29%
Edge-6%+1%+5%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

SC Braga vs Gent odds movement

Median bookmaker price on SC Braga, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-17.

Opened 1.73Now 1.91 +0.18
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
SC Braga1.731.91+0.18
Draw3.853.50-0.35
Gent4.584.05-0.53

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

SC Braga and Gent expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.83SC Braga
1.24Gent
Total expected goals
2.07
Attack rating (SC Braga / Gent)
0.75 / 1.18
Defence rating (SC Braga / Gent)
0.88 / 0.67

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

SC Braga vs Gent score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.9% 14.3% 9.7% 4.0% 1.6% 1 9.2% 14.3% 8.0% 3.3% 1.3% 2 4.4% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6% 3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 4+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: SC Braga goals. Columns: Gent goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

SC Braga vs Gent goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 34%
Over 3.5 16%
Both teams to score
42%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for SC Braga vs Gent

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2SC Braga43%2.32
Draw28%3.53
Gent29%3.51
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534%2.92
Under 2.566%1.52
Both teams to scoreYes42%2.41
No58%1.71
Double chance1X (SC Braga or draw)71%1.40
12 (either side)72%1.40
X2 (draw or Gent)57%1.76
Handicap -1SC Braga win by 2+8%12.47
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

SC Braga and Gent recent form

SC Braga 1W 1D 4L
Gent 4W 2D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

SC Braga at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
3 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Gent away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: SC Braga at home only, Gent away only.

Expected lineups

SC Braga lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 31 Bernardo Fontes
  2. 26 Bright Arrey-Mbi
  3. 37 Adrian Leon Barišić
  4. 14 Gustaf Lagerbielke
  5. 2 Victor Gómez
  6. 11 Gabriel Silva
  7. 29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby
  8. 8 João Moutinho
  9. 10 Pau Víctor
  10. 17 Jovan Milošević
  11. 21 Ricardo Horta

Bench: Vítor Carvalho, Diogo Travassos, Fran Navarro, Tiago Sá, Tomás Marqués, Mario Dorgeles, Sergio Barcia, Denis Huseinbašić, Demir Ege Tıknaz, Adrian Bajrami, Diego Rodrigues, Gabriel Martínez

Gent lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 33 Davy Roef
  2. 20 Tiago Araújo
  3. 44 Siebe Van der Heyden
  4. 16 Christian Burgess
  5. 3 Maksim Paskotsi
  6. 17 Mathias Delorge
  7. 27 Tibe De Vlieger
  8. 45 Hyllarion Goore
  9. 11 Momodou Sonko
  10. 75 Ibrahima Cisse
  11. 7 Michel Ange Balikwisha

Bench: László Bénes, Aimé Omgba, Kyrell Wilson, Leonardo Lopes, Mohammed El Âdfaoui, Kjell Peersman, Gilles De Meyer, Abdelkahar Kadri, Abdul Ayinde, Mamadou Diallo, Matties Volckaert, El Hadji Seck

SC Braga vs Gent head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: SC Braga 0 · draws 2 · Gent 0.

SC BragaDrawsGent
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2016-11-24Gent2-2SC BragaUEFA Europa League
2016-09-15SC Braga1-1GentUEFA Europa League

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match