Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

KuPS vs Trabzonspor

· Tammelan Stadion, Tampere· Referee I. Barbara

Full time2 – 4

TipsterGrid prediction was Trabzonspor to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KuPSDrawTrabzonspor

KuPS vs Trabzonspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKuPSDrawTrabzonspor
Model29%34%37%
Market17%22%61%
Published20%25%55%
Edge+3%+3%-6%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Trabzonspor, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.50Now 1.54 +0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
KuPS6.125.50-0.62
Draw4.294.22-0.07
Trabzonspor1.501.54+0.05

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

KuPS and Trabzonspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.91KuPS
1.07Trabzonspor
Total expected goals
1.98
Attack rating (KuPS / Trabzonspor)
0.66 / 1.19
Defence rating (KuPS / Trabzonspor)
0.76 / 0.84

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 15.1% 13.4% 7.9% 2.8% 1.0% 1 11.2% 14.8% 7.2% 2.6% 0.9% 2 5.7% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 3 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: KuPS goals. Columns: Trabzonspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 85%
Over 1.5 60%
Over 2.5 32%
Over 3.5 14%
Both teams to score
41%
No goals (0–0)
15%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for KuPS vs Trabzonspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2KuPS20%4.99
Draw25%3.99
Trabzonspor55%1.82
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532%3.13
Under 2.568%1.47
Both teams to scoreYes41%2.46
No59%1.69
Double chance1X (KuPS or draw)45%2.22
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Trabzonspor)80%1.25
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win by 2+16%6.42
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

KuPS and Trabzonspor recent form

KuPS 1W 2D 3L
Trabzonspor 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

KuPS at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: KuPS at home only, Trabzonspor away only.

Expected lineups

KuPS lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Johannes Kreidl
  2. 13 Niilo Kujasalo
  3. 23 Arttu Lötjönen
  4. 4 Kasim Adams
  5. 29 Akseli Puukko
  6. 8 Petteri Pennanen
  7. 14 Samuel Pasanen
  8. 24 Bob Nii Armah
  9. 34 Julius Eskesen
  10. 21 Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
  11. 20 Piotr Parzyszek

Bench: Saku Savolainen, Gustav Engvall, Valentín Gasc, Jaime Moreno, Hemmo Riihimäki, Ayman Aiki, Tommi Jyry, Saikou Touray, Clinton Antwi, Brahima Magassa, Jorginho, Taneli Hämäläinen

Trabzonspor lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 24 André Onana
  2. 39 Cenk Özkaçar
  3. 4 Samet Akaydın
  4. 3 Batista Mendy
  5. 20 Wagner Pina
  6. 11 Ozan Tufan
  7. 57 Melih Kabasakal
  8. 58 Aral Şimşir
  9. 8 Benjamin Bouchouari
  10. 10 Mohamed Salah
  11. 30 Paul Onuachu

Bench: Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım, Fabinho, Ernest Muçi, Franculino Djú, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Noah Saviolo, Yiğithan Çubukcu, Oğuzhan Ertem, Erol Can Çolak

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

Before and after this match