Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe

· Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova· Referee D. Smajc

Full time1 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Universitatea Craiova to win

Bblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 0

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Universitatea CraiovaDrawGetafe

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceUniversitatea CraiovaDrawGetafe
Model75%18%7%
Market32%31%36%
Published43%28%29%
Edge+11%-3%-7%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 0.54.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Universitatea Craiova below our published probability: +10.7 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Universitatea Craiova, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 3.00Now 2.92 -0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Universitatea Craiova3.002.92-0.08
Draw3.223.00-0.22
Getafe2.322.59+0.27

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Universitatea Craiova and Getafe expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.22Universitatea Craiova
0.54Getafe
Total expected goals
2.77
Attack rating (Universitatea Craiova / Getafe)
1.27 / 0.75
Defence rating (Universitatea Craiova / Getafe)
0.61 / 1.06

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 1 13.2% 8.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2 15.6% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 3 11.5% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 4+ 10.8% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%

Rows: Universitatea Craiova goals. Columns: Getafe goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 52%
Over 3.5 30%
Both teams to score
38%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Universitatea Craiova43%2.32
Draw28%3.57
Getafe29%3.46
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552%1.91
Under 2.548%2.09
Both teams to scoreYes38%2.63
No62%1.61
Double chance1X (Universitatea Craiova or draw)71%1.41
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or Getafe)57%1.76
Handicap -1Universitatea Craiova win by 2+52%1.93
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Universitatea Craiova and Getafe recent form

Universitatea Craiova 4W 1D 1L
Getafe 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Getafe away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Universitatea Craiova at home only, Getafe away only.

Expected lineups

Universitatea Craiova lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 21 Laurenţiu Popescu
  2. 6 Vladimir Screciu
  3. 24 Nikola Stevanović
  4. 3 Oleksandr Romanchuk
  5. 11 Nicușor Bancu
  6. 8 Tudor Băluță
  7. 16 João Lameira
  8. 23 Samuel Teles
  9. 10 Ștefan Baiaram
  10. 9 Assad Al-Hamlawi
  11. 20 Alexandru Cicâldău

Bench: Alexandru Maxim, Alexandru Crețu, Baptiste Roux, Steven Nsimba, Heriberto Tavares, Simon Elisor, Luca Băsceanu, David Matei, Ronaldo Webster, Răzvan Sava

Getafe lineup · 5-4-1

  1. 13 David Soria
  2. 3 Davinchi
  3. 26 Jean Ives Valou
  4. 8 Nemanja Gudelj
  5. 2 Djené
  6. 21 Andrés García
  7. 11 Ramón Terrats
  8. 16 Francho Serrano
  9. 6 Mario Martín
  10. 10 Martín Satriano
  11. 9 Borja Mayoral

Bench: Jiří Letáček, Saba Sazonov, Abdel Abqar, Sebastián Boselli, Kiko Femenía, Johan Mojica, Alberto Risco, Diego Ferrer

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

Before and after this match