Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka

· Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens· Referee B. Csonka

Full time2 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Panathinaikos to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PanathinaikosDrawBorac Banja Luka

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePanathinaikosDrawBorac Banja Luka
Model46%30%24%
Market78%14%7%
Published70%18%12%
Edge-8%+4%+4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.92.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Panathinaikos, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.29Now 1.21 -0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Panathinaikos1.291.21-0.08
Draw5.216.65+1.45
Borac Banja Luka9.0012.85+3.85

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.36Panathinaikos
0.92Borac Banja Luka
Total expected goals
2.28
Attack rating (Panathinaikos / Borac Banja Luka)
1.19 / 1.28
Defence rating (Panathinaikos / Borac Banja Luka)
0.61 / 0.69

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.5% 8.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.4% 1 12.6% 14.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 2 9.4% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Borac Banja Luka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 40%
Over 3.5 20%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Panathinaikos70%1.43
Draw18%5.47
Borac Banja Luka12%8.62
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540%2.51
Under 2.560%1.66
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.17
No54%1.85
Double chance1X (Panathinaikos or draw)88%1.13
12 (either side)82%1.22
X2 (draw or Borac Banja Luka)30%3.35
Handicap -1Panathinaikos win by 2+22%4.49
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka recent form

Panathinaikos 5W 0D 1L
Borac Banja Luka 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Panathinaikos at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Borac Banja Luka away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Panathinaikos at home only, Borac Banja Luka away only.

Expected lineups

Panathinaikos lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Iñaki Peña
  2. 77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos
  3. 55 Rick Van Drongelen
  4. 6 Stefan de Vrij
  5. 2 Davide Calabria
  6. 22 Etienne Camara
  7. 42 Kings Kangwa
  8. 10 Santino Andino
  9. 21 Azzedine Ounahi
  10. 20 Vicente Taborda
  11. 9 Cyriel Dessers

Bench: Andreas Tetteh, Adriano Jagušić, Erik Palmer Brown, Sotiris Kontouris, Triantafyllos Tsapras, Imrân Louza, Facundo Pellistri, Victor Kristiansen, Konstantinos Kotsaris, Christos Gitonas, Elmin Rastoder, Levi García

Borac Banja Luka lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 72 Mladen Jurkas
  2. 16 Sebastian Herrera
  3. 6 Siniša Saničanin
  4. 2 Bart Meijers
  5. 4 Branimir Cipetić
  6. 12 Amer Hiroš
  7. 98 Sandi Ogrinec
  8. 77 Stefan Savić
  9. 18 Miloš Jojić
  10. 44 Ante Roguljić
  11. 7 Luka Juričić

Bench: Damjan Siskovski, Abel Pascual, David Vuković, Anderson Esiti, Viktor Rogan, Erik Riđan, Ivan Kukavica, Stojan Vranješ, Jurich Carolina, Amar Milak, Matej Deket, Daniel Romera

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Panathinaikos 0 · draws 1 · Borac Banja Luka 0.

PanathinaikosDrawsBorac Banja Luka
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2024-10-03Borac Banja Luka1-1PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference League

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

Before and after this match