Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian

· Papara Park, Trabzon· Referee L. Visser

Full time2 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Trabzonspor to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
TrabzonsporDrawHeart Of Midlothian

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTrabzonsporDrawHeart Of Midlothian
Model73%16%12%
Market75%15%10%
Published74%15%10%
Edge-1%0%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.92 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Trabzonspor, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-17.

Opened 1.42Now 1.25 -0.17
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Trabzonspor1.421.25-0.17
Draw4.806.17+1.37
Heart Of Midlothian6.899.50+2.61

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.92Trabzonspor
1.17Heart Of Midlothian
Total expected goals
4.09
Attack rating (Trabzonspor / Heart Of Midlothian)
1.36 / 1.21
Defence rating (Trabzonspor / Heart Of Midlothian)
0.82 / 1.30

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 1 4.3% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5% 2 7.1% 8.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.7% 3 6.9% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7% 4+ 10.4% 12.1% 7.1% 2.8% 1.0%

Rows: Trabzonspor goals. Columns: Heart Of Midlothian goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 77%
Over 3.5 58%
Both teams to score
66%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Trabzonspor74%1.35
Draw15%6.52
Heart Of Midlothian10%9.68
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578%1.29
Under 2.522%4.45
Both teams to scoreYes66%1.52
No34%2.92
Double chance1X (Trabzonspor or draw)90%1.12
12 (either side)85%1.18
X2 (draw or Heart Of Midlothian)26%3.90
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win by 2+53%1.87
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian recent form

Trabzonspor 5W 0D 1L
Heart Of Midlothian 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Heart Of Midlothian away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Trabzonspor at home only, Heart Of Midlothian away only.

Expected lineups

Trabzonspor lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 24 André Onana
  2. 55 Sidny Lopes Cabral
  3. 39 Cenk Özkaçar
  4. 4 Samet Akaydın
  5. 57 Melih Kabasakal
  6. 8 Benjamin Bouchouari
  7. 3 Batista Mendy
  8. 26 Tim Jabol-Folcarelli
  9. 70 Noah Saviolo
  10. 9 Franculino Djú
  11. 10 Mohamed Salah

Bench: Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım, Fabinho, Ernest Muçi, Ozan Tufan, Wagner Pina, Chibuike Nwaiwu, Aral Şimşir, Mustafa Kuzey Akcay, Oğuzhan Ertem, Hakan Yılmaz, Erol Can Çolak

Heart Of Midlothian lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 1 Beau Reus
  2. 2 Christian Borchgrevink
  3. 5 Jamie McCart
  4. 64 Malachi Fagan-Walcott
  5. 23 Jordi Altena
  6. 19 Severin Sabri Guendouz
  7. 22 Tomas Magnusson
  8. 10 Cláudio Braga
  9. 74 Rogers Mato
  10. 21 James Wilson
  11. 7 Calvin Miller

Bench: Stephen Kingsley, Jerome Williams, Pierre Landry Kaboré, Josh McPake, Zander Clark, Sabah Kerjota, Ryan Fulton, Finlay Pollock, Gus Stevenson, Laurent Mendy

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match