Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

· Olympia, Helsingborg· Referee A. Menelaos

Full time2 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Mjallby AIF to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Mjallby AIFDrawInter Club d'Escaldes

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMjallby AIFDrawInter Club d'Escaldes
Model18%27%55%
Market71%18%10%
Published58%20%21%
Edge-13%+2%+11%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Mjallby AIF, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.30Now 1.33 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Mjallby AIF1.301.33+0.03
Draw5.105.17+0.07
Inter Club d'Escaldes8.659.03+0.38

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.86Mjallby AIF
1.63Inter Club d'Escaldes
Total expected goals
2.49
Attack rating (Mjallby AIF / Inter Club d'Escaldes)
0.56 / 1.09
Defence rating (Mjallby AIF / Inter Club d'Escaldes)
1.26 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.5% 12.4% 11.1% 6.0% 3.5% 1 6.0% 12.8% 9.5% 5.1% 3.0% 2 3.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.2% 1.3% 3 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.4% 4+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Mjallby AIF goals. Columns: Inter Club d'Escaldes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 24%
Both teams to score
47%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Mjallby AIF58%1.72
Draw20%4.88
Inter Club d'Escaldes21%4.65
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545%2.21
Under 2.555%1.83
Both teams to scoreYes47%2.11
No53%1.90
Double chance1X (Mjallby AIF or draw)79%1.27
12 (either side)80%1.26
X2 (draw or Inter Club d'Escaldes)42%2.38
Handicap -1Mjallby AIF win by 2+6%16.00
Push (exactly one goal)12%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes recent form

Mjallby AIF 0W 3D 3L
Inter Club d'Escaldes 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Inter Club d'Escaldes away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Mjallby AIF at home only, Inter Club d'Escaldes away only.

Expected lineups

Mjallby AIF lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 35 Alexander Lundin
  2. 5 Abdullah Iqbal
  3. 4 Axel Norén
  4. 33 Tony Miettinen
  5. 3 Martin Agnarsson
  6. 6 Mads Enggård
  7. 22 Jesper Gustavsson
  8. 14 Villiam Granath
  9. 7 Viktor Gustafson
  10. 18 Jacob Bergström
  11. 10 Jeppe Kjaer

Bench: Sebastian Hansen, Ludvig Svanberg, Robin Wallinder, Áki Samuelsen, Tom Pettersson, Ian Hoffmann, Ludvig Tidstrand, Olle Lindberg, Romeo Leandersson

Inter Club d'Escaldes lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 13 Javier Díaz
  2. 3 Jilmar Torres
  3. 4 Álex Sánchez
  4. 6 Víctor Alonso
  5. 2 Anwar Hernandez
  6. 8 David López
  7. 9 Faysal Chouaib
  8. 11 Domi Berlanga
  9. 24 Maurizio Pochettino
  10. 19 Pablo Molina
  11. 31 Soule Sidibe

Bench: Pol Freixanet, Juan Camara, Adrian Da Cunha, Robin Lafarge, Marc Rodríguez, Lamine Diaby, Borja Arellano, Rafinha

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

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