Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF

· Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi· Referee Lothar D'hondt, Belgium

Full time1 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Mjallby AIF to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC Iberia 1999DrawMjallby AIF

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC Iberia 1999DrawMjallby AIF
Model46%31%24%
Market31%28%41%
Published35%29%36%
Edge+4%+1%-4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Mjallby AIF, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 2.10Now 2.31 +0.20
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FC Iberia 19993.313.01-0.31
Draw3.303.33+0.04
Mjallby AIF2.102.31+0.20

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FC Iberia 1999 and Mjallby AIF expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.33FC Iberia 1999
0.89Mjallby AIF
Total expected goals
2.22
Attack rating (FC Iberia 1999 / Mjallby AIF)
0.73 / 0.60
Defence rating (FC Iberia 1999 / Mjallby AIF)
1.24 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.1% 8.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 1 13.1% 14.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.5% 2 9.6% 8.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 3 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: FC Iberia 1999 goals. Columns: Mjallby AIF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 66%
Over 2.5 38%
Over 3.5 18%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC Iberia 199935%2.87
Draw29%3.48
Mjallby AIF36%2.75
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538%2.61
Under 2.562%1.62
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.24
No55%1.81
Double chance1X (FC Iberia 1999 or draw)64%1.57
12 (either side)71%1.40
X2 (draw or Mjallby AIF)65%1.53
Handicap -1Mjallby AIF win by 2+8%11.88
Push (exactly one goal)15%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

FC Iberia 1999 and Mjallby AIF recent form

FC Iberia 1999 1W 2D 3L
Mjallby AIF 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Expected lineups

FC Iberia 1999 lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 31 Giorgi Makaridze
  2. 5 Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava
  3. 4 Vahid Selimović
  4. 25 Aleksandre Amisulashvili
  5. 40 Giorgi Kobuladze
  6. 8 Bakar Kardava
  7. 18 Lucas Cafe
  8. 6 Nikoloz Dadiani
  9. 10 Zviad Natchkebia
  10. 19 Nika Sikharulashvili
  11. 9 Amiran Dzagania

Bench: Tornike Megrelishvili, Phillip Čančar, Daniel Kvartskhava, Andria Bartishvili, Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan, Revaz Kurtanidze, Stephen Ende, Eldar Kuliiev, Giorgi Kutsia, Lado Chikhradze, Nikoloz Bochorishvili, Jean-Marc Tiboue

Mjallby AIF lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 35 Alexander Lundin
  2. 5 Abdullah Iqbal
  3. 4 Axel Norén
  4. 33 Tony Miettinen
  5. 26 Ian Hoffmann
  6. 22 Jesper Gustavsson
  7. 7 Viktor Gustafson
  8. 14 Villiam Granath
  9. 29 Olle Lindberg
  10. 18 Jacob Bergström
  11. 23 Áki Samuelsen

Bench: Sebastian Hansen, Ludvig Svanberg, Martin Agnarsson, Mads Enggård, Jeppe Kjaer, Robin Wallinder, Tom Pettersson, Max Nielsen, Ludvig Tidstrand, Romeo Leandersson

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