Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova

· Estadi de la FAF, Encamp· Referee C. Vergetis

Full time1 – 3

TipsterGrid prediction was Universitatea Craiova to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Inter Club d'EscaldesDrawUniversitatea Craiova

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceInter Club d'EscaldesDrawUniversitatea Craiova
Model21%30%50%
Market17%24%59%
Published18%25%57%
Edge+1%+1%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Universitatea Craiova, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-17.

Opened 1.58Now 1.58 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Inter Club d'Escaldes6.065.55-0.51
Draw3.893.97+0.08
Universitatea Craiova1.581.58+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Inter Club d'Escaldes and Universitatea Craiova expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.83Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.42Universitatea Craiova
Total expected goals
2.25
Attack rating (Inter Club d'Escaldes / Universitatea Craiova)
0.98 / 1.23
Defence rating (Inter Club d'Escaldes / Universitatea Craiova)
0.98 / 0.51

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.8% 13.7% 10.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1 7.5% 13.6% 8.8% 4.2% 2.0% 2 3.6% 5.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.8% 3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Inter Club d'Escaldes goals. Columns: Universitatea Craiova goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Inter Club d'Escaldes18%5.60
Draw25%3.98
Universitatea Craiova57%1.75
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.56
Under 2.561%1.64
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.27
No56%1.79
Double chance1X (Inter Club d'Escaldes or draw)43%2.33
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Universitatea Craiova)82%1.22
Handicap -1Universitatea Craiova win by 2+25%3.94
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Inter Club d'Escaldes and Universitatea Craiova recent form

Inter Club d'Escaldes 2W 3D 1L
Universitatea Craiova 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Inter Club d'Escaldes at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2
  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Inter Club d'Escaldes at home only, Universitatea Craiova away only.

Expected lineups

Inter Club d'Escaldes lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 13 Javier Díaz
  2. 3 Jilmar Torres
  3. 2 Anwar Hernandez
  4. 4 Álex Sánchez
  5. 24 Maurizio Pochettino
  6. 6 Víctor Alonso
  7. 31 Soule Sidibe
  8. 8 David López
  9. 19 Pablo Molina
  10. 11 Domi Berlanga
  11. 9 Faysal Chouaib

Bench: Pol Freixanet, Juan Camara, Adrian Da Cunha, Robin Lafarge, Marc Rodríguez, Lamine Diaby, Rodrigo Rosária, Alex Leitao, Luque Arnau, Borja Arellano, Rafinha

Universitatea Craiova lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 21 Laurenţiu Popescu
  2. 6 Vladimir Screciu
  3. 24 Nikola Stevanović
  4. 3 Oleksandr Romanchuk
  5. 11 Nicușor Bancu
  6. 8 Tudor Băluță
  7. 16 João Lameira
  8. 17 Carlos Mora
  9. 10 Ștefan Baiaram
  10. 9 Assad Al-Hamlawi
  11. 20 Alexandru Cicâldău

Bench: Alexandru Maxim, Alexandru Crețu, Baptiste Roux, Steven Nsimba, Heriberto Tavares, Simon Elisor, Samuel Teles, Luca Băsceanu, David Matei, Ronaldo Webster, Răzvan Sava

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

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