St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.23.
• Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 odds movement

Median bookmaker price on St. Truiden, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

3.58

Attack rating (St. Truiden / FC Iberia 1999)

1.16 / 0.80

Defence rating (St. Truiden / FC Iberia 1999)

1.30 / 1.23

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: St. Truiden goals. Columns: FC Iberia 1999 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

65%

No goals (0–0)

4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

St. Truiden and FC Iberia 1999 recent form

St. Truiden LLLWLW 2W 0D 4L

FC Iberia 1999 LLWDDL 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Expected lineups