Celtic vs Beşiktaş Prediction 05.11.26: Score & BTTS Tips

Celtic vs Beşiktaş preview

Celtic faces Beşiktaş with a 35% chance of victory compared to Beşiktaş's 40%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 7% probability according to our model. Both teams show a strong tendency to score, with 73% for both teams to score and a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Celtic's expected goals stand at 2.02, while Beşiktaş has 1.81. Recent form indicates Celtic has drawn and won twice in their last six matches, while Beşiktaş has won three of their last six. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Celtic	Draw	Beşiktaş
Model	38%	23%	39%
Market	31%	25%	44%
Published	33%	25%	43%
Edge	+2%	-1%	-1%

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.23, recorded 2026-11-04 — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Celtic vs Beşiktaş odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Beşiktaş, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-30.

Opened 2.26Now 2.15 -0.11

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Celtic	2.88	3.06	+0.19
Draw	3.62	3.74	+0.12
Beşiktaş	2.26	2.15	-0.11

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Celtic and Beşiktaş expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.89Celtic

1.89Beşiktaş

Total expected goals: 3.78
Attack rating (Celtic / Beşiktaş): 1.24 / 1.40
Defence rating (Celtic / Beşiktaş): 1.13 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 2.6% 1.9% 1 3.5% 9.0% 7.7% 4.9% 3.5% 2 4.1% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 3.3% 3 2.6% 4.9% 4.6% 2.9% 2.1% 4+ 1.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.5%

Rows: Celtic goals. Columns: Beşiktaş goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 90%

Over 2.5 73%

Over 3.5 52%

Both teams to score: 73%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Celtic vs Beşiktaş

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Celtic	33%	3.05
	Draw	25%	4.06
	Beşiktaş	43%	2.35
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	73%	1.37
	Under 2.5	27%	3.68
Both teams to score	Yes	73%	1.37
	No	27%	3.69
Double chance	1X (Celtic or draw)	57%	1.74
	12 (either side)	75%	1.33
	X2 (draw or Beşiktaş)	67%	1.49
Handicap -1	Beşiktaş win by 2+	21%	4.74
	Push (exactly one goal)	17%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Celtic and Beşiktaş recent form

Celtic 2W 1D 3L

Beşiktaş 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Celtic at home

Record (W-D-L): 0-0-2
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 1.00
Goals against / match: 2.50
Clean sheets: 0 of 2

Beşiktaş away

Record (W-D-L): 3-0-1
Win rate: 75%
Goals for / match: 1.50
Goals against / match: 0.75
Clean sheets: 2 of 4

They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Celtic at home only, Beşiktaş away only.