Updated

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht

· Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb· Referee Orel Grinfeld

Full time1 – 0

TipsterGrid prediction was Dinamo Zagreb to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Dinamo ZagrebDrawAnderlecht

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDinamo ZagrebDrawAnderlecht
Model36%28%37%
Market47%26%26%
Published44%27%29%
Edge-3%0%+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Dinamo Zagreb, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.90Now 2.01 +0.10
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Dinamo Zagreb1.902.01+0.10
Draw3.603.60+0.00
Anderlecht3.883.60-0.28

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.36Dinamo Zagreb
1.42Anderlecht
Total expected goals
2.78
Attack rating (Dinamo Zagreb / Anderlecht)
1.31 / 1.12
Defence rating (Dinamo Zagreb / Anderlecht)
1.08 / 0.68

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.4% 7.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.4% 1 7.2% 13.2% 8.5% 4.0% 2.0% 2 5.7% 8.2% 5.8% 2.7% 1.3% 3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 4+ 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%

Rows: Dinamo Zagreb goals. Columns: Anderlecht goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 53%
Over 3.5 30%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Dinamo Zagreb44%2.25
Draw27%3.74
Anderlecht29%3.46
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553%1.90
Under 2.547%2.11
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.74
No42%2.36
Double chance1X (Dinamo Zagreb or draw)71%1.41
12 (either side)73%1.36
X2 (draw or Anderlecht)56%1.80
Handicap -1Dinamo Zagreb win by 2+16%6.13
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht recent form

Dinamo Zagreb 2W 2D 2L
Anderlecht 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Anderlecht away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
0.33
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Dinamo Zagreb at home only, Anderlecht away only.

Injuries & availability

Dinamo Zagreb absences

  • A. Stojakovic foot injury
  • F. Topic off the roster
  • I. Nevistic off the roster
  • N. Nsoki off the roster
  • P. Tabinas off the roster
  • R. Mudrazija off the roster
  • S. McKenna inactive
  • S. Radeljic inactive

Anderlecht absences

  • G. Biancone hamstring injury
  • I. Camara foot injury
  • I. Koutsoupias off the roster
  • K. Sardella thigh injury
  • L. Hey broken leg

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Dinamo Zagreb lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 24 D. Kotarski
  2. 22 Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
  3. 6 S. Radeljić
  4. 36 Sergi Domínguez
  5. 15 N. Galešić
  6. 27 J. Mišić
  7. 11 A. Hoxha
  8. 17 L. Ivanušec
  9. 10 L. Stojković
  10. 23 Iker Almena
  11. 9 D. Beljo

Bench: D. Zagorac, B. Goda, K. Kravtsov, Dani Rodríguez, M. Zajc, S. Prevljak, M. Lisica, M. Valinčić, S. McKenna, I. Filipović, L. Kačavenda, M. Oršić

Anderlecht lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 26 C. Coosemans
  2. 5 O. Reabciuk
  3. 12 A. Omobamidele
  4. 27 L. Pétrot
  5. 50 K. Barry
  6. 18 L. Ambros
  7. 19 T. Aasgaard
  8. 83 T. Degreef
  9. 10 M. Winkler
  10. 9 M. Cvetković
  11. 29 M. Stroeykens

Bench: Zoumana Keita, L. Augustinsson, R. Amané, O. Antman, D. Sikan, T. Bentayeb, E. Llansana, J. Heekeren, N. Cobiella, M. Kana, A. Maamar, A. Bertaccini

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Dinamo Zagreb 1 · draws 1 · Anderlecht 0.

Dinamo ZagrebDrawsAnderlecht
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2018-12-13Dinamo Zagreb0-0AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
2018-10-04Anderlecht0-2Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match