Updated

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen

· Groupama Aréna, Budapest· Referee Damian Sylwestrzak

Full time2 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Ferencvarosi TC to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Ferencvarosi TCDrawPlzen

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFerencvarosi TCDrawPlzen
Model63%21%16%
Market50%25%26%
Published53%24%23%
Edge+3%-1%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.10.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Ferencvarosi TC below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Ferencvarosi TC, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.92Now 1.92 -0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Ferencvarosi TC1.921.92-0.00
Draw3.753.80+0.05
Plzen3.643.72+0.08

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.24Ferencvarosi TC
1.10Plzen
Total expected goals
3.33
Attack rating (Ferencvarosi TC / Plzen)
1.25 / 1.28
Defence rating (Ferencvarosi TC / Plzen)
0.74 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.4% 3.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 1 7.1% 9.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6% 2 8.9% 9.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7% 3 6.6% 7.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 4+ 6.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5%

Rows: Ferencvarosi TC goals. Columns: Plzen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ferencvarosi TC53%1.89
Draw24%4.18
Plzen23%4.32
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.54
Under 2.535%2.86
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.66
No40%2.51
Double chance1X (Ferencvarosi TC or draw)77%1.30
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or Plzen)47%2.13
Handicap -1Ferencvarosi TC win by 2+40%2.47
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Ferencvarosi TC and Plzen recent form

Ferencvarosi TC 3W 3D 0L
Plzen 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ferencvarosi TC at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.50
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Plzen away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Ferencvarosi TC at home only, Plzen away only.

Injuries & availability

Ferencvarosi TC absences

  • B. Nagy off the roster
  • B. Otvos knee injury
  • E. Botka inactive
  • G. Szecsi off the roster
  • I. Pappoe knee injury
  • L. Joseph inactive
  • M. Bero injury
  • N. Keita inactive

Plzen absences

  • J. Paluska surgery
  • M. Tvrdon off the roster
  • P. Adu inactive
  • V. Jemelka knee injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Ferencvarosi TC lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 63 Dániel István Radnóti
  2. 20 Cadu
  3. 4 M. Gómez
  4. 28 T. Raemaekers
  5. 14 A. Osváth
  6. 6 Á. Nagy
  7. 17 M. Corbu
  8. 7 V. Birmančević
  9. 16 K. Zachariassen
  10. 11 B. Yusuf
  11. 76 K. Lisztes

Bench: G. Zohoré, J. Levi, D. Arzani, Á. Bagi, L. Őri, C. O'Dowda, O. Nagy, C. Lakatos, H. Maïga, P. Rommens, D. Dibusz

Plzen lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 D. Ťapaj
  2. 14 Merchas Doski
  3. 40 S. Dweh
  4. 98 F. Prebsl
  5. 29 A. Gabriel
  6. 36 S. Pirgić
  7. 17 P. Hrošovský
  8. 12 A. Sojka
  9. 20 Jiří Maxim Panoš
  10. 99 A. Memić
  11. 25 C. Kabongo

Bench: T. Pališčák, D. Vavro, L. Červ, S. Lawal, D. Višinský, M. Toure, M. Vydra, T. Ladra, C. Souaré, B. Faal, V. Baier, F. Wiegele

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Ferencvarosi TC 1 · draws 2 · Plzen 2.

Ferencvarosi TCDrawsPlzen
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-09-25Ferencvarosi TC1-1PlzenUEFA Europa League
2025-02-20Plzen3-0Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League
2025-02-13Ferencvarosi TC1-0PlzenUEFA Europa League
2024-01-25Ferencvarosi TC1-3PlzenFriendlies Clubs
2023-01-16Plzen0-0Ferencvarosi TCFriendlies Clubs

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match