Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp: model vs market
| Source | Cercle Brugge | Draw | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Published | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cercle Brugge, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.90 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.92 | 3.70 | -0.22 |
| Antwerp | 3.55 | 3.34 | -0.21 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cercle Brugge and Antwerp expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.82
- Attack rating (Cercle Brugge / Antwerp)
- 1.06 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Cercle Brugge / Antwerp)
- 1.47 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cercle Brugge goals. Columns: Antwerp goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cercle Brugge | 46% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Antwerp | 29% | 3.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cercle Brugge or draw) | 71% | 1.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Antwerp) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cercle Brugge win by 2+ | 25% | 4.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Cercle Brugge and Antwerp recent form
Cercle Brugge
1W 1D 4L
Antwerp
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cercle Brugge at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antwerp away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cercle Brugge at home only, Antwerp away only.
Expected lineups
Cercle Brugge lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 1 Gaëtan Coucke
- 24 Geoffrey Kondo
- 33 Royer Caicedo
- 2 Ibrahim Diakité
- 8 Erick Nunes
- 28 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
- 18 Luke Le Roux
- 45 Tayo Adaramola
- 20 Abdoulie Manneh
- 30 Tunde Akinsola
- 9 Steve Ngoura
Bench: Emmanuel Kakou, Gary Magnee, Yann Lienard, Lucas Michal, Krys Kouassi, Lukas Mondele, Viggo Martens, Sebbe Gheerardyns, Louis Colman
Antwerp lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 41 Taishi Brandon Nozawa
- 5 Daam Foulon
- 3 Álvaro Cortés
- 20 Rein Van Helden
- 17 Semm Renders
- 48 Arthur Vermeeren
- 6 Bahmed Deuff
- 7 Ibrahim Salah
- 24 Thibo Somers
- 80 Carlos Mejia
- 33 Snayder Porozo
Bench: Yuto Tsunashima, Mauricio Benitez, Michael Frey, Christopher Scott, Youssef Hamdaoui, Xander Dierckx, Modibo Fofana, Maxime Busi, Niels Devalckeneer
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Cercle Brugge 1 · draws 2 · Antwerp 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Cercle Brugge | 0-4 | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-10-04 | Antwerp | 1-1 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-03-01 | Cercle Brugge | 0-0 | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2024-10-06 | Antwerp | 3-0 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2024-05-12 | Antwerp | 1-2 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2024-04-21 | Cercle Brugge | 0-1 | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2023-12-09 | Cercle Brugge | 1-3 | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2023-07-30 | Antwerp | 1-0 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2023-04-09 | Antwerp | 2-1 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2022-09-11 | Cercle Brugge | 0-2 | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV — match page 2026-10-30
- KV Mechelen vs Genk — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Standard Liege vs Kortrijk — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo 2026-10-31
- SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven 2026-11-01
- Lommel United v Gent — match page 2026-11-01
- Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Cercle Brugge, previous: Union St. Gilloise v Cercle Brugge analysis
- Cercle Brugge, next: RAAL La Louvière – Cercle Brugge, 2026-11-07
- Antwerp, previous: Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction
- Antwerp, next: Antwerp vs Lommel United: odds and pick