Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 10

Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV

· Elindus Arena, Waregem· Referee L. Visser

Full time2 – 4

TipsterGrid prediction was Club Brugge KV to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Zulte WaregemDrawClub Brugge KV

Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceZulte WaregemDrawClub Brugge KV
Model23%24%53%
Market14%19%68%
Published16%20%64%
Edge+2%+1%-4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.24.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Club Brugge KV, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-24.

Opened 1.64Now 1.39 -0.25
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Zulte Waregem4.976.96+1.99
Draw4.245.04+0.80
Club Brugge KV1.641.39-0.25

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Zulte Waregem and Club Brugge KV expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.24Zulte Waregem
1.98Club Brugge KV
Total expected goals
3.21
Attack rating (Zulte Waregem / Club Brugge KV)
1.02 / 1.68
Defence rating (Zulte Waregem / Club Brugge KV)
0.94 / 0.79

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.0% 7.0% 7.8% 5.2% 4.0% 1 4.0% 10.8% 9.7% 6.4% 5.0% 2 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 3.1% 3 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 1.3% 4+ 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5%

Rows: Zulte Waregem goals. Columns: Club Brugge KV goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 40%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Zulte Waregem16%6.31
Draw20%5.01
Club Brugge KV64%1.56
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562%1.60
Under 2.538%2.65
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.61
No38%2.64
Double chance1X (Zulte Waregem or draw)36%2.79
12 (either side)80%1.25
X2 (draw or Club Brugge KV)84%1.19
Handicap -1Club Brugge KV win by 2+32%3.13
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Zulte Waregem and Club Brugge KV recent form

Zulte Waregem 2W 0D 4L
Club Brugge KV 6W 0D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Zulte Waregem at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Club Brugge KV away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.25
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Zulte Waregem at home only, Club Brugge KV away only.

Expected lineups

Zulte Waregem lineup · 4-3-2-1

  1. 13 Brent Gabriel
  2. 55 Yannick Cappelle
  3. 5 Jakob Kiilerich
  4. 4 Laurent Lemoine
  5. 49 Franz Tangala
  6. 11 Marley Aké
  7. 6 Enrique Lofolomo
  8. 8 Thomas Claes
  9. 20 Tobias Hedl
  10. 10 Malick Mbaye
  11. 18 Anosike Ementa

Bench: Louis Bostyn, Nikola Mituljikić, Youssoupha Mbodji, István Átrok, Ousseynou Niang, Tristan Panduro, Serxho Ujka, Benoit De Jaegere, Akpa Chukwu Hemsley

Club Brugge KV lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Yann Sommer
  2. 65 Joaquin Seys
  3. 44 Brandon Mechele
  4. 58 Jorne Spileers
  5. 64 Kyriani Sabbe
  6. 20 Hans Vanaken
  7. 8 Freddie Potts
  8. 11 Jan Virgili
  9. 10 Hugo Vetlesen
  10. 9 Carlos Forbs
  11. 7 Nicolò Tresoldi

Bench: Han-Beom Lee, Cheveyo Tsawa, Romeo Vermant, Nordin Jackers, Matteo Dams, Milan Robberechts, Hugo Siquet, Mamadou Diakhon, Félix Lemaréchal, Argus Vanden Driessche

Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Zulte Waregem 1 · draws 1 · Club Brugge KV 8.

Zulte WaregemDrawsClub Brugge KV
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-24Club Brugge KV4-3Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2025-08-16Zulte Waregem0-1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
2023-12-06Club Brugge KV4-0Zulte WaregemCup
2023-07-01Club Brugge KV0-1Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
2023-01-29Zulte Waregem1-2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
2022-08-05Club Brugge KV1-1Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2021-12-12Club Brugge KV3-0Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2021-08-15Zulte Waregem0-4Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
2021-07-07Club Brugge KV2-1Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
2021-03-07Club Brugge KV3-0Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match