Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 10

Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo

· Lotto Park, Anderlecht· Referee N. Laforge

Full time4 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Anderlecht to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AnderlechtDrawKVC Westerlo

Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAnderlechtDrawKVC Westerlo
Model39%23%38%
Market59%21%20%
Published54%22%24%
Edge-5%0%+5%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Anderlecht, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-25.

Opened 1.88Now 1.60 -0.27
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Anderlecht1.881.60-0.27
Draw3.764.40+0.64
KVC Westerlo4.024.78+0.76

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.86Anderlecht
1.84KVC Westerlo
Total expected goals
3.71
Attack rating (Anderlecht / KVC Westerlo)
0.96 / 1.60
Defence rating (Anderlecht / KVC Westerlo)
0.92 / 1.27

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.3% 3.7% 4.2% 2.6% 1.8% 1 3.7% 9.3% 7.8% 4.8% 3.4% 2 4.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.5% 3.1% 3 2.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.8% 1.9% 4+ 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.0% 1.4%

Rows: Anderlecht goals. Columns: KVC Westerlo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 72%
Over 3.5 51%
Both teams to score
72%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Anderlecht54%1.86
Draw22%4.57
KVC Westerlo24%4.11
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572%1.40
Under 2.528%3.51
Both teams to scoreYes72%1.39
No28%3.56
Double chance1X (Anderlecht or draw)76%1.32
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or KVC Westerlo)46%2.16
Handicap -1Anderlecht win by 2+21%4.74
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo recent form

Anderlecht 3W 0D 3L
KVC Westerlo 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Anderlecht at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.25
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KVC Westerlo away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Anderlecht at home only, KVC Westerlo away only.

Expected lineups

Anderlecht lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 26 Colin Coosemans
  2. 6 Ludwig Augustinsson
  3. 27 Léo Pétrot
  4. 4 Giulian Biancone
  5. 79 Ali Maamar
  6. 19 Thelo Aasgaard
  7. 29 Mario Stroeykens
  8. 30 Ilias Koutsoupias
  9. 49 Jayden Onia Seke
  10. 9 Mihajlo Cvetković
  11. 18 Lukáš Ambros

Bench: Oleg Reabciuk, Romeo Amane, Oliver Antman, Andrew Omobamidele, Danylo Sikan, Tawfik Bentayeb, Enric Llansana, Justin Heekeren, Kaïs Barry, Marco Kana, Tristan Degreef, Adriano Bertaccini

KVC Westerlo lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 99 Andreas Jungdal
  2. 88 Fabio Ferraro
  3. 4 Amando Lapage
  4. 5 Seiji Kimura
  5. 2 Lasse Flø
  6. 14 Cisse Sandra
  7. 45 Ibrahim Fofana
  8. 7 Shunsuke Saito
  9. 13 Isa Sakamoto
  10. 20 Cameron Congreve
  11. 9 Norman Bassette

Bench: Bill Lathouwers, Reno Münz, Nikola Storm, Felix Tsimba, Lucas Mbamba, Pape Diong, Thomas Van den Keybus, Botond Balogh, Yang Min-hyeok

Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Anderlecht 5 · draws 2 · KVC Westerlo 3.

AnderlechtDrawsKVC Westerlo
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-12-07KVC Westerlo4-0AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
2025-07-27Anderlecht5-2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2025-03-09KVC Westerlo2-0AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
2024-12-05Anderlecht4-1KVC WesterloBelgium Cup
2024-09-14Anderlecht2-2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2023-12-01KVC Westerlo1-3AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
2023-08-20Anderlecht2-1KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2023-04-09Anderlecht0-0KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
2022-09-11KVC Westerlo2-1AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
2022-01-09Anderlecht2-0KVC WesterloFriendlies Clubs

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match