Updated

Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 9

Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden

· Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge· Referee N. Verboomen

Full time3 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was Club Brugge KV to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Club Brugge KVDrawSt. Truiden

Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceClub Brugge KVDrawSt. Truiden
Model69%18%14%
Market70%17%14%
Published69%17%14%
Edge0%0%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Club Brugge KV, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 1.30Now 1.33 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Club Brugge KV1.301.33+0.03
Draw5.705.55-0.15
St. Truiden7.506.80-0.70

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.67Club Brugge KV
1.17St. Truiden
Total expected goals
3.84
Attack rating (Club Brugge KV / St. Truiden)
1.70 / 1.31
Defence rating (Club Brugge KV / St. Truiden)
0.71 / 1.04

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.8% 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 1 5.1% 7.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.6% 2 7.6% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.8% 3 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.7% 4+ 8.7% 10.2% 6.0% 2.3% 0.9%

Rows: Club Brugge KV goals. Columns: St. Truiden goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 74%
Over 3.5 54%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Club Brugge KV69%1.44
Draw17%5.90
St. Truiden14%7.32
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574%1.35
Under 2.526%3.82
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.54
No35%2.85
Double chance1X (Club Brugge KV or draw)86%1.16
12 (either side)83%1.20
X2 (draw or St. Truiden)31%3.27
Handicap -1Club Brugge KV win by 2+49%2.06
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden recent form

Club Brugge KV 6W 0D 0L
St. Truiden 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Club Brugge KV at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.50
Goals against / match
0.25
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

St. Truiden away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
2.50
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Club Brugge KV at home only, St. Truiden away only.

Expected lineups

Club Brugge KV lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Yann Sommer
  2. 65 Joaquin Seys
  3. 44 Brandon Mechele
  4. 58 Jorne Spileers
  5. 64 Kyriani Sabbe
  6. 20 Hans Vanaken
  7. 8 Freddie Potts
  8. 11 Jan Virgili
  9. 10 Hugo Vetlesen
  10. 9 Carlos Forbs
  11. 7 Nicolò Tresoldi

Bench: Han-Beom Lee, Cheveyo Tsawa, Romeo Vermant, Nordin Jackers, Matteo Dams, Milan Robberechts, Hugo Siquet, Mamadou Diakhon, Félix Lemaréchal, Argus Vanden Driessche

St. Truiden lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 16 Léo Kokubo
  2. 23 Joedrick Pupe
  3. 4 Kota Takai
  4. 5 Shogo Taniguchi
  5. 3 Taiga Hata
  6. 8 Abdoulaye Sissako
  7. 18 Nelson Ishiwatari
  8. 10 Ilias Sebaoui
  9. 9 Samed Baždar
  10. 11 Nathanaël Mbuku
  11. 99 Shion Shinkawa

Bench: Arbnor Muja, Ryan Merlen, Frederic Soelle Soelle, Matt Lendfers, Wolke Janssens, Visar Musliu, Kaito Matsuzawa, Robert-Jan Vanwesemael, Ryotaro Araki

Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Club Brugge KV 4 · draws 3 · St. Truiden 3.

Club Brugge KVDrawsSt. Truiden
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-09Club Brugge KV2-0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
2026-04-11St. Truiden1-2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
2025-12-06St. Truiden3-2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
2025-09-21Club Brugge KV2-0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
2025-02-15St. Truiden2-2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
2024-11-23Club Brugge KV7-0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
2024-03-17St. Truiden2-1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
2023-10-01Club Brugge KV1-1St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
2023-01-19St. Truiden1-1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
2022-12-21Club Brugge KV1-4St. TruidenCup

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match