Updated

England Championship · Matchday 14

Preston vs Sheffield Utd

· Deepdale Stadium, Preston· Referee John Busby

Full time2 – 3

TipsterGrid prediction was Sheffield Utd to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PrestonDrawSheffield Utd

Preston vs Sheffield Utd: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePrestonDrawSheffield Utd
Model15%26%59%
Market25%26%49%
Published23%26%51%
Edge-2%0%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sheffield Utd below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Preston vs Sheffield Utd odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Sheffield Utd, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-30.

Opened 2.30Now 1.95 -0.35
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Preston2.883.77+0.90
Draw3.603.58-0.02
Sheffield Utd2.301.95-0.35

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Preston and Sheffield Utd expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.78Preston
1.74Sheffield Utd
Total expected goals
2.51
Attack rating (Preston / Sheffield Utd)
0.63 / 0.97
Defence rating (Preston / Sheffield Utd)
1.47 / 0.85

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Preston vs Sheffield Utd score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.2% 12.9% 12.2% 7.0% 4.5% 1 5.2% 12.0% 9.5% 5.5% 3.5% 2 2.5% 4.3% 3.7% 2.1% 1.4% 3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4% 4+ 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Preston goals. Columns: Sheffield Utd goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Preston vs Sheffield Utd goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 25%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Preston vs Sheffield Utd

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Preston23%4.42
Draw26%3.82
Sheffield Utd51%1.95
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.17
Under 2.554%1.85
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.19
No54%1.84
Double chance1X (Preston or draw)49%2.05
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Sheffield Utd)77%1.29
Handicap -1Sheffield Utd win by 2+34%2.92
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Preston and Sheffield Utd recent form

Preston 0W 2D 4L
Sheffield Utd 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Preston at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
0.83
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.

Sheffield Utd away

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Preston at home only, Sheffield Utd away only.

Injuries & availability

Preston absences

  • A. McCann hamstring injury
  • H. Clarke knee injury
  • L. Gibbs muscle injury
  • L. Gibson inactive

Sheffield Utd absences

  • A. Davies inactive
  • J. Rothwell inactive
  • J. Shackleton health problems
  • K. Phillips inactive
  • L. Kitching yellow cards
  • M. Doherty injury
  • P. Bamford inactive
  • R. One inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Preston lineup · 3-4-1-2

  1. 1 D. Iversen
  2. 16 A. Hughes
  3. 14 J. Storey
  4. 24 O. Offiah
  5. 3 A. Vukčević
  6. 15 J. Thompson
  7. 27 L. Leroy
  8. 17 S. Mills
  9. 23 A. Moran
  10. 38 J. Kenny
  11. 9 J. Erabi

Bench: L. Lindsay, A. Devine, C. Lang, T. Small, C. Wiley, L. Nicholls, Ed Nolan, D. Burgzorg, B. Potts

Sheffield Utd lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 M. Cooper
  2. 14 H. Burrows
  3. 25 M. McGuinness
  4. 5 J. Tanganga
  5. 8 H. Choudhury
  6. 11 R. Donovan
  7. 44 J. Riedewald
  8. 42 Sydie Peck
  9. 19 T. Chong
  10. 22 B. Brereton
  11. 9 T. Cannon

Bench: M. Doherty, S. McCallum, O. Arblaster, J. Ayew, T. Campbell, R. Norrington-Davies, J. Baptiste, F. Seriki

Preston vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Preston 2 · draws 3 · Sheffield Utd 5.

PrestonDrawsSheffield Utd
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-25Sheffield Utd2-3PrestonEngland Championship
2025-10-24Preston3-2Sheffield UtdEngland Championship
2025-03-08Sheffield Utd1-0PrestonChampionship
2024-08-09Preston0-2Sheffield UtdChampionship
2023-04-29Sheffield Utd4-1PrestonChampionship
2022-09-17Preston0-2Sheffield UtdChampionship
2022-01-18Preston2-2Sheffield UtdChampionship
2021-09-14Sheffield Utd2-2PrestonChampionship
2020-09-04Sheffield Utd2-2PrestonFriendlies Clubs
2019-04-06Preston0-1Sheffield UtdChampionship

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match