Updated

England · 2026/27 season

England Championship Football Predictions

In the England Championship, Southampton currently tops the table with 28 points after 165 matches played this season. The average goals per match stand at 2.92, with 61% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and 62% featuring both teams scoring. These statistics suggest a high-scoring trend, but individual match outcomes can still vary significantly.

Teams 24 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 165 of 552 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 15 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 166 so far this season

Upcoming England Championship fixtures

15 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 45 more scheduled later this season.

England Championship fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Cardiff vs West HamEngland ChampionshipC England Championship West HamOur prob 49%Best odds 2.00 0% 49% 48% C 2.00
Wrexham vs MiddlesbroughEngland ChampionshipC England Championship MiddlesbroughOur prob 56%Best odds 1.75 0% 56% 55% C 1.75
Bristol City vs Wolverhampton WanderersEngland ChampionshipC England Championship Wolverhampton WanderersOur prob 42%Best odds 2.25 -1% 42% 43% C 2.25
Derby vs BoltonEngland ChampionshipC England Championship BoltonOur prob 38%Best odds 2.90 +4% 38% 34% C 2.90
Bristol City vs NorwichEngland ChampionshipC England Championship NorwichOur prob 37%Best odds 2.65 0% 37% 37% C 2.65
Portsmouth vs Stoke CityEngland ChampionshipC England Championship PortsmouthOur prob 39%Best odds 2.40 -1% 39% 40% C 2.40
Wrexham vs Wolverhampton WanderersEngland ChampionshipC England Championship Wolverhampton WanderersOur prob 43%Best odds 2.32 +2% 43% 41% C 2.32
Watford vs MiddlesbroughEngland ChampionshipC England Championship MiddlesbroughOur prob 64%Best odds 1.50 +1% 64% 63% C 1.50
Cardiff vs BurnleyEngland ChampionshipC England Championship CardiffOur prob 43%Best odds 2.31 +2% 43% 41% C 2.31
Birmingham vs SwanseaEngland ChampionshipC England Championship BirminghamOur prob 53%Best odds 1.95 +2% 53% 51% C 1.95
Preston vs SouthamptonEngland ChampionshipC England Championship SouthamptonOur prob 61%Best odds 1.72 +4% 61% 57% C 1.72
West Brom vs MillwallEngland ChampionshipC England Championship West BromOur prob 48%Best odds 2.05 +2% 48% 47% C 2.05
Blackburn vs West HamEngland ChampionshipC England Championship West HamOur prob 57%Best odds 1.63 -1% 57% 58% C 1.63
QPR vs LincolnEngland ChampionshipC England Championship QPROur prob 55%Best odds 1.80 +3% 55% 53% C 1.80
Charlton vs Sheffield UtdEngland ChampionshipC England Championship Sheffield UtdOur prob 48%Best odds 2.13 +4% 48% 44% C 2.13

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

England Championship table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

England Championship table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Southampton 14 842 2914 +15 28
2 Middlesbrough 13 841 3017 +13 28
3 Birmingham 14 752 2613 +13 26
4 Stoke City 14 824 2217 +5 26
5 Swansea 14 824 2116 +5 26
6 West Brom 14 743 2015 +5 25
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 13 733 2316 +7 24
8 West Ham 13 643 3318 +15 22
9 Sheffield Utd 14 644 2017 +3 22
10 Portsmouth 14 644 1916 +3 22
11 QPR 14 563 2217 +5 21
12 Norwich 14 608 2724 +3 18
13 Millwall 14 536 2324 -1 18
14 Blackburn 14 536 2022 -2 18
15 Bristol City 13 535 1517 -2 18
16 Bolton 14 527 1926 -7 17
17 Lincoln 14 437 1424 -10 15
18 Cardiff 13 355 1920 -1 14
19 Wrexham 13 355 1519 -4 14
20 Watford 14 428 1323 -10 14
21 Charlton 14 356 1122 -11 14
22 Burnley 14 176 1826 -8 10
23 Derby 14 149 1129 -18 7
24 Preston 14 1211 1230 -18 5

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

England Championship trends

How England Championship matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 165 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 69 of 165 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (557)
Away wins 32% 53 of 165 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (557)
Over 2.5 goals 61% 101 of 165 matches +11 pts vs 2025/26 (557)
Both teams scored 62% 102 of 165 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (557)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (557 played matches).

Top England Championship teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.79
Attack
1.85
Defence
1.07
Form NextSwansea (H) · 7 Nov
Net rating
+0.71
Attack
2.20
Defence
1.49
Form NextCardiff (A) · 4 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in England Championship

From the England Championship scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • W. LankshearMiddlesbrough 13 G 0 A
  • A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn 9 G 1 A
  • J. BowenWest Ham 7 G 5 A
  • C. LarinSouthampton 7 G 0 A
  • Fer LópezWolverhampton Wanderers 6 G 3 A
  • J. MoylanCardiff 6 G 3 A
  • A. PriskeBirmingham 6 G 1 A
  • S. DalbyBolton 6 G 0 A

Recent England Championship results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent England Championship results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
West Brom vs SouthamptonOur pick West Brom · 39% West Brom to win 39% 1–1 Missed
Birmingham vs MillwallOur pick Birmingham · 50% Birmingham to win 50% 3–0 Correct
Portsmouth vs SwanseaOur pick Swansea · 36% Swansea to win 36% 3–1 Missed
Charlton vs BoltonOur pick Charlton · 38% Charlton to win 38% 0–1 Missed
QPR vs BurnleyOur pick QPR · 50% QPR to win 50% 1–1 Missed
Derby vs NorwichOur pick Norwich · 48% Norwich to win 48% 0–4 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.