Updated

England Championship · Matchday 12

Preston vs West Brom

· Deepdale Stadium, Preston· Referee Elliot Bell

Full time1 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was West Brom to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 2

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PrestonDrawWest Brom

Preston vs West Brom: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePrestonDrawWest Brom
Model15%22%62%
Market26%27%47%
Published23%26%51%
Edge-3%-1%+4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.94.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices West Brom below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Preston vs West Brom odds movement

Median bookmaker price on West Brom, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-20.

Opened 1.95Now 2.00 +0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Preston3.663.60-0.06
Draw3.503.52+0.02
West Brom1.952.00+0.05

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Preston and West Brom expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.94Preston
2.06West Brom
Total expected goals
3.00
Attack rating (Preston / West Brom)
0.71 / 1.06
Defence rating (Preston / West Brom)
1.59 / 0.92

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Preston vs West Brom score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 9.3% 10.6% 7.2% 6.0% 1 3.7% 10.6% 9.9% 6.8% 5.6% 2 2.2% 4.5% 4.7% 3.2% 2.6% 3 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.8% 4+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Rows: Preston goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Preston vs West Brom goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
54%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Preston vs West Brom

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Preston23%4.26
Draw26%3.90
West Brom51%1.97
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.74
Under 2.542%2.36
Both teams to scoreYes54%1.85
No46%2.18
Double chance1X (Preston or draw)49%2.04
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or West Brom)77%1.31
Handicap -1West Brom win by 2+39%2.55
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Preston and West Brom recent form

Preston 0W 1D 5L
West Brom 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Preston at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
1.80
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

West Brom away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Preston at home only, West Brom away only.

Injuries & availability

Preston absences

  • A. McCann hamstring injury
  • C. Wiley injury
  • H. Clarke knee injury
  • L. Gibbs muscle injury
  • L. Gibson inactive
  • L. Lindsay injury
  • T. Carroll ankle injury

West Brom absences

  • M. Johnston broken leg
  • N. Galves knee injury
  • T. Collyer injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Preston lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 D. Iversen
  2. 3 A. Vukčević
  3. 16 A. Hughes
  4. 14 J. Storey
  5. 24 O. Offiah
  6. 27 L. Leroy
  7. 44 B. Potts
  8. 37 D. Burgzorg
  9. 7 A. Devine
  10. 17 S. Mills
  11. 38 J. Kenny

Bench: Pol Valentín, J. Erabi, C. Lang, T. Small, C. Wiley, L. Nicholls, A. Moran, Ed Nolan

West Brom lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 M. O’Leary
  2. 4 C. Styles
  3. 6 G. Campbell
  4. 2 C. Mepham
  5. 18 B. Pereira
  6. 21 I. Price
  7. 17 O. Diakité
  8. 8 J. Molumby
  9. 29 Harry Whitwell
  10. 9 B. Stewart
  11. 7 F. Myhre

Bench: N. Phillips, J. Morgan, M. Ingram, A. Heggebø, R. Nzingoula, C. Townsend, T. Bany, K. Tunde

Preston vs West Brom head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Preston 2 · draws 2 · West Brom 6.

PrestonDrawsWest Brom
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-18Preston0-2West BromEngland Championship
2025-10-18West Brom2-1PrestonEngland Championship
2025-01-01West Brom3-1PrestonChampionship
2024-11-30Preston1-1West BromChampionship
2024-05-04West Brom3-0PrestonChampionship
2023-09-30Preston0-4West BromChampionship
2022-12-29West Brom2-0PrestonChampionship
2022-10-05Preston1-0West BromChampionship
2022-01-26West Brom0-2PrestonChampionship
2021-09-18Preston1-1West BromChampionship

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match