Updated

England Championship · Matchday 13

West Ham vs West Brom

· London Stadium, London· Referee Robert Jones

Full time1 – 3

TipsterGrid prediction was West Ham to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
West HamDrawWest Brom

West Ham vs West Brom: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceWest HamDrawWest Brom
Model61%20%18%
Market58%23%19%
Published59%22%19%
Edge+1%-1%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 1.27.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

West Ham vs West Brom odds movement

Median bookmaker price on West Ham, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.52Now 1.62 +0.10
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
West Ham1.521.62+0.10
Draw4.334.10-0.23
West Brom5.354.92-0.42

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

West Ham and West Brom expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.38West Ham
1.27West Brom
Total expected goals
3.65
Attack rating (West Ham / West Brom)
1.78 / 1.05
Defence rating (West Ham / West Brom)
1.00 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

West Ham vs West Brom score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.4% 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 1 5.4% 8.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.9% 2 7.4% 9.4% 5.9% 2.5% 1.1% 3 5.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.8% 4+ 6.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.9%

Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

West Ham vs West Brom goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 71%
Over 3.5 49%
Both teams to score
66%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for West Ham vs West Brom

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2West Ham59%1.70
Draw22%4.49
West Brom19%5.28
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571%1.42
Under 2.529%3.40
Both teams to scoreYes66%1.51
No34%2.95
Double chance1X (West Ham or draw)81%1.23
12 (either side)78%1.29
X2 (draw or West Brom)41%2.43
Handicap -1West Ham win by 2+40%2.48
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

West Ham and West Brom recent form

West Ham 2W 2D 2L
West Brom 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

West Ham at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.83
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

West Brom away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.17
Goals against / match
1.17
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: West Ham at home only, West Brom away only.

Injuries & availability

West Ham absences

  • J. Veltman health problems
  • K. Lamadrid injury
  • K. Mavropanos knee injury

West Brom absences

  • M. Johnston broken leg
  • N. Galves knee injury
  • T. Collyer injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

West Ham lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 M. Hermansen
  2. 5 Morato
  3. 3 M. Kilman
  4. 58 A. Golambeckis
  5. 2 K. Walker-Peters
  6. 35 E. Austbö
  7. 7 A. Engels
  8. 14 D. Mukasa
  9. 20 J. Bowen
  10. 17 M. Kanté
  11. 19 Pablo

Bench: J. Piroe, M. Solomon, V. Castellanos, A. Areola, S. Magassa, T. Souček, J. Veltman, L. Orford, Ezra Mayers

West Brom lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 M. O’Leary
  2. 4 C. Styles
  3. 6 G. Campbell
  4. 2 C. Mepham
  5. 18 B. Pereira
  6. 21 I. Price
  7. 17 O. Diakité
  8. 8 J. Molumby
  9. 20 R. Nzingoula
  10. 11 J. Morgan
  11. 7 F. Myhre

Bench: N. Phillips, B. Stewart, M. Ingram, A. Heggebø, C. Townsend, T. Bany, K. Tunde, Harry Whitwell, M. Crowther

West Ham vs West Brom head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: West Ham 4 · draws 3 · West Brom 3.

West HamDrawsWest Brom
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2021-05-19West Brom1-3West HamPremier League
2021-01-19West Ham2-1West BromPremier League
2020-01-25West Ham0-1West BromFA Cup
2018-01-02West Ham2-1West BromPremier League
2017-09-16West Brom0-0West HamPremier League
2017-02-11West Ham2-2West BromPremier League
2016-09-17West Brom4-2West HamPremier League
2016-04-30West Brom0-3West HamPremier League
2015-11-29West Ham1-1West BromPremier League
2015-02-14West Brom4-0West HamFA Cup

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match