Updated

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen

· Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade· Referee R. M. Petrescu

Full time2 – 2

TipsterGrid prediction was FK Crvena Zvezda to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FK Crvena ZvezdaDrawFC Copenhagen

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFK Crvena ZvezdaDrawFC Copenhagen
Model39%28%32%
Market41%27%32%
Published41%27%32%
Edge0%0%0%
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FK Crvena Zvezda, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-17.

Opened 2.48Now 2.29 -0.19
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FK Crvena Zvezda2.482.29-0.19
Draw3.583.50-0.08
FC Copenhagen2.692.92+0.22

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.43FK Crvena Zvezda
1.29FC Copenhagen
Total expected goals
2.72
Attack rating (FK Crvena Zvezda / FC Copenhagen)
1.47 / 1.44
Defence rating (FK Crvena Zvezda / FC Copenhagen)
0.75 / 0.59

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.3% 1.0% 1 8.2% 13.4% 7.8% 3.4% 1.4% 2 6.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.4% 1.0% 3 3.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 4+ 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: FK Crvena Zvezda goals. Columns: FC Copenhagen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FK Crvena Zvezda41%2.46
Draw27%3.69
FC Copenhagen32%3.10
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.96
Under 2.549%2.05
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.78
No44%2.29
Double chance1X (FK Crvena Zvezda or draw)68%1.48
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or FC Copenhagen)59%1.68
Handicap -1FK Crvena Zvezda win by 2+19%5.19
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen recent form

FK Crvena Zvezda 5W 0D 1L
FC Copenhagen 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC Copenhagen away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: FK Crvena Zvezda at home only, FC Copenhagen away only.

Expected lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda lineup · 3-4-2-1

  1. 1 Matheus
  2. 3 Yuta Nakayama
  3. 45 Stefan Gudelj
  4. 60 Matej Gaštarov
  5. 23 Mihailo Ristić
  6. 21 Timi Max Elšnik
  7. 33 Rade Krunić
  8. 20 Tomás Händel
  9. 37 Vladimir Lučić
  10. 22 Vasilije Kostov
  11. 9 Ahmadou Bamba Dieng

Bench: Mirko Ivanić, Mahmudu Bajo, Marko Arnautović, Kristiyan Balov, Aleksandar Katai, Miloš Veljković, Mohammad Abu Fani, Ye-geon Kim, Franklin Tebo, Savo Radanović, Muhammed-Cham Saračević, Loizos Loizou

FC Copenhagen lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 1 Diant Ramaj
  2. 20 Junnosuke Suzuki
  3. 4 Asger Sørensen
  4. 2 Felix Beijmo
  5. 24 Birger Meling
  6. 27 Thomas Delaney
  7. 28 Hunor Németh
  8. 13 Rodrigo Huescas
  9. 16 Robert
  10. 14 Andreas Cornelius
  11. 7 Maher Carrizo

Bench: Ákos Markgráf, Mohamed Elyounoussi, Marcos López, Kenay Myrie, Mads Emil Madsen, Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson, Marvin Nasnas, William Clem, Viktor Bjarki Dadason, Geovanni Vianney, Gunnar Orri Olsen, Tobias Breum-Harild

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: FK Crvena Zvezda 0 · draws 2 · FC Copenhagen 0.

FK Crvena ZvezdaDrawsFC Copenhagen
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2019-08-13FC Copenhagen2-2FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Champions League
2019-08-06FK Crvena Zvezda1-1FC CopenhagenUEFA Champions League

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match