Updated

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Rennes vs OFI

· Roazhon Park, Rennes· Referee Andrea Colombo

Full time2 – 1

TipsterGrid prediction was Rennes to win

Bblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RennesDrawOFI

Rennes vs OFI: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRennesDrawOFI
Model38%25%37%
Market79%14%7%
Published69%17%15%
Edge-10%+3%+7%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Rennes vs OFI odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Rennes, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.25Now 1.21 -0.04
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Rennes1.251.21-0.04
Draw5.787.00+1.22
OFI10.2013.00+2.80

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Rennes and OFI expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.59Rennes
1.63OFI
Total expected goals
3.22
Attack rating (Rennes / OFI)
1.27 / 1.10
Defence rating (Rennes / OFI)
1.26 / 0.82

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rennes vs OFI score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.0% 5.5% 5.3% 2.9% 1.7% 1 5.3% 11.4% 8.4% 4.6% 2.7% 2 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 2.1% 3 2.7% 4.4% 3.6% 1.9% 1.1% 4+ 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6%

Rows: Rennes goals. Columns: OFI goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rennes vs OFI goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 40%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rennes vs OFI

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Rennes69%1.46
Draw17%6.03
OFI15%6.77
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562%1.60
Under 2.538%2.66
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.54
No35%2.86
Double chance1X (Rennes or draw)85%1.17
12 (either side)83%1.20
X2 (draw or OFI)31%3.19
Handicap -1Rennes win by 2+19%5.38
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Rennes and OFI recent form

Rennes 4W 1D 1L
OFI 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

OFI away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Rennes at home only, OFI away only.

Injuries & availability

OFI absences

  • A. Leya Iseka inactive
  • C. Sielis inactive
  • N. Marinakis groin injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Rennes lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 30 B. Samba
  2. 18 M. Nagida
  3. 48 A. Ait Boudlal
  4. 4 C. Cresswell
  5. 95 P. Frankowski
  6. 45 M. Camara
  7. 21 V. Rongier
  8. 17 S. Szymański
  9. 11 Mousa Tamari
  10. 9 E. Lepaul
  11. 10 L. Blas

Bench: Gonçalo Oliveira, D. Cissé, Eliezer Mayenda, B. Reynolds, N. Lemaître, B. Dia, A. Rouault, Q. Merlin, A. Thomasson, Kilian Belazzoug, A. Nordin, I. Soumaré

OFI lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 31 N. Christogeorgos
  2. 2 K. Krizmanić
  3. 43 D. Nikolaou
  4. 15 A. Poungouras
  5. 3 N. Athanasiou
  6. 41 A. Bouchalakis
  7. 14 T. Androutsos
  8. 24 L. Dickmann
  9. 18 T. Nuss
  10. 19 K. Kodro
  11. 11 T. Fountas

Bench: K. Lilo, K. Kostoulas, Z. Karachalios, G. Kanellópoulos, Aitor Cantalapiedra, P. Katsikas, Borja González, G. Apostolakis, T. Romano, G. Theodosoulakis, Thanasis Sitmalidis, Pavlos Kenourgiakis

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match